![]() | The history repeats. In late spring-early autumn, the S&P 500 pushes the EURUSD up. The same could occur in the rest of 2020. Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a EURUSD trading plan. submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments] Monthly euro fundamental forecastI have often mentioned that the fourth quarter should be similar to the second, although the disaster should be less dramatic. This is evident from economic data, which suggests the current restrictions hit the euro-area economy. However, the damage is far less than it was during the previous lockdown. People continue going to work, manufacturing operates, and the government restricts entertainment and retail trading. The so-called ‘fun isolation’ suggests that vaccines' introduction will allow the euro-area economy to recover soon. This fact lets me hope that the EURUSD correction won’t be deep.Of course, the ECB would like the euro to cost as little as possible, which will support exports and accelerate inflation. In her recent speech, Christine Lagarde highlighted the effectiveness of the Pandemic Emergence Purchase Program (PEPP) and anti-crisis long-term refinancing operation (LTRO). This was a clear signal that both of them will be expanded in December. On the other hand, the ECB president did not say anything about interest-rate changes. It is quite possible that by increasing the scale of QE, the ECB will cause the same reaction in EURUSD as the Bank of England did by its similar actions. Remember, the pound rose in response to the BoE monetary easing in November. Dynamics and structure of ECB assetshttps://preview.redd.it/g309gkp0cty51.jpg?width=576&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a7f25d34d6feb075e8e00e412ac7f07fe94005c9 Source: Bloomberg But still, the primary growth driver for the EURUSD is not the liquidity trap suggesting lower efficiency of the stimulating measures as their volumes increase and inadequate response of the regional currency. That is the rally of the US stock indexes, which supports the euro. Yes, the S&P 500 growth on November 9 unexpectedly supported the dollar. But this situation resulted from the realization of the investment idea of Biden’s victory in the US presidential election. The correlation between the US stock market and the EURUSD should soon restore, which could encourage the euro bulls to go ahead. The record stimuli as the response to the recession have poured a huge amount of money into the financial system. Ahead of the elections, investors preferred to hold cash because of uncertainty. Now, that money goes back into the market. Amid positive news about vaccines, the S&P 500 rallies thanks to traditional industries, including industry and banking. As soon as there are talks about a long vaccine introduction process, the stock market is still rising. This time thanks to the tech stocks. Monthly EURUSD trading planThe current situation looks like that of the second quarter when the US and the euro-area economies slid down into recession, and the S&P 500 was growing. Investors expected the recession to end soon, and the GDP recovery to be V-shaped. The same is now. It will take a long time to introduce the COVID-19 vaccine after it has been approved. However, the stock indexes are rallying up, suggesting purchases of the EURUSD if the price closes above 1.18 and 1.1845. Otherwise, the US stock market correction will send the euro down to $1.172 and $1.167.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/euro-and-fun-isolation-forecast-as-of-12112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | The primary risk associated with the US presidential election is a possible election-related dispute. Furthermore, there are divergences in monetary policy and economic performance. So, the EURUSD is expectedly down. Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a EURUSD trading plan. submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments] Weekly US dollar fundamental forecastOctober has become the worst month for the US stock market since March. The bond market has experienced the worst drop since September 2018. In the last week of October, the S&P 500 sank 5.6%, while the Treasury yield rose to 0.858%. According to Bespoke Investment Group, this has only been 17 times since 1962, when the US Treasury yields rose along with the stock indexes’ drop. Investors believe that Joe Biden’s victory will result in the fiscal stimulus boost provided that the Democrats take control over the Senate. If it doesn’t happen, the extra stimulus package will hardly be accepted by Congress. Is it better to buy currencies, selling stocks and bonds?The S&P 500 bulls hope for a “blue wave.” However, it doesn’t guarantee that the stock index will resume the uptrend. In 2016, the Wall Street experts predicted the US stock market to fall in case of Donald Trump's victory. At first, everything was going on as expected, but the stock indexes quickly recovered afterward. A wrong forecast cost George Soros $1 billion. And not only him. Nobody wants to repeat the same mistakes, especially since the S&P 500 could continue correction, no matter who wins. The main source of uncertainty is Donald Trump’s willingness to challenge election results. As of October 31, nearly 90 million Americans already have cast their ballots, which is over 65% of the total votes from 2016. Donald accuses the Democrats of election fraud. Uncertainty makes investors buy safe-haven assets. However, when the Treasuries are being sold off, investors tend to buy the US dollar. Besides, the growing yield-gap between U.S. and German government bonds sends the EURUSD down as well. Dynamics of U.S.-Germany 10-year yield gapSource: Bloomberg Investors are selling the euro off amid the increase in the number of COVID-19 cases in Europe and the introduction of new restrictions by the euro-area governments. Although the euro-area economy grew by 12.7% and outperformed the U.S. growth in the third quarter, everything can radically change in the fourth quarter. The median estimate of 18 Financial Times experts suggests that the euro-area GDP will contract by 2.3% in October-December. At the same time, Oxford Economics predicts that the United States will expand by 3% over the same period. Divergence in economic growth sends the EURUSD down. Furthermore, there is also a divergence in monetary policies. Dynamics of GDPSource: Wall Street Journal The ECB is willing to boost the monetary stimulus in December. 59% of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg believe that the Fed, on the contrary, won’t expand the assets purchases until the end of 2021. Working directly with the Federal Reserve, large banks do not expect any QE changes until the middle of next year. Weekly EURUSD trading planUnder such conditions, the EURUSD is likely to continue falling towards 1.16 and 1.154-1.156. The absence of the “blue wave” and/or Donald Trump’s rejection of the election results will suggest a deeper correction down.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-caught-a-fish-in-dark-waters-forecast-for-02112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Weekly fundamental forecast for dollarThe pandemic revealed the drawbacks of the eurozone’s two-speed economy. While Germany’s business activity grew, mainly due to the industrial sector, the currency bloc’s composite Purchasing Managers Index dropped to 4-month lows at 49.4. When that value is less than the key level of 50, the economy falls. Thus, the eurozone may face a double recession against the backdrop of the second wave of COVID-19. That allows selling EURUSD amid the US business activity’s continuous growth. Unfortunately, the market is overwhelmed with quite different investment ideas. At least for now.Business activitySource: Wall Street Journal. Bank of New York Mellon notes that the correlation between currencies and the US stock indexes is significantly higher than in 2019. That allows us to presume their increased sensitivity to risk appetite. The bank interpreted that unusual occurrence as “risk on steroids”: the markets are waiting for Joe Biden’s victory, the S&P 500’s rally, and the greenback’s dive, which will affect dollar pairs and cross rates. The USD is under serious pressure, but the euro itself has some trumps. There is too much spare cash in the eurozone’s bank system amid large monetary stimuli. The index reached a record high level of €3.2 trillion in October. As there’s too much spare money, it goes to the debt market: demand for the European Commission’s first bonds was €233 billion while the issuance volume was €17 billion. Since the ECB has already got a large piece of the pie by means of its pandemic-driven bond-buying program, the remaining part is fiercely contended for. Spare liquidity in European bank systemSource: Bloomberg.Central banks are interested in buying bonds too: according to Deutsche Bank’s research, their share in the volume of 10-year bond issuance was 40%, two times bigger than previous issuance values. Diversification of gold and currency reserves in favor of the euro is one of the key factors in the EURUSD’s consolidation. The ECB will hardly decide to expand QE in the current circumstances at the meeting on 29 October. It doesn’t need to hurry in spite of the pandemic’s second wave, deflation, Brexit, and double recession risks. The CPI’s fall below zero may be due to temporary factors, such as Germany’s VAT cut. The program’s unused resources amount to $750 billion, whereas economic forecasts will be updated only in December. There are plenty of arguments to continue to “idle on the roadside,” but Christine Lagarde can still surprise us. Weekly trading plan for EURUSDIf not for the ECB’s meeting and the fiscal stimulus story, we could buy EURUSD at the breakout of resistance at 1.1865 amid expectations of Joe Biden’s victory, then fix profits after 3 November and sell the pair amid the divergence in the US’ and the eurozone’s economic growth. However, other factors may interfere with that plan. The last week of October promises to be wild.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-is-afraid-of-risk-on-steroids-analysis-as-of-26102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Despite the second wave of COVID-19 and the rumors of the ECB’s monetary stimulus expansion, the single European currency isn’t giving up. Let’s talk about what is supporting the euro, and make a trading plan for EURUSD. submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments] Weekly fundamental forecast for euroIn spite of, not thanks to.EURUSD’s yesterday rise could seem strange amid the US stock indexes’ fall and the second pandemic wave in Europe. However, we need simply to understand, what investment idea is prevailing in the market these days. The euro’s descending move is seen as a mere correction. Most investors are sure that Joe Biden’s victory at the elections on 3 November will weaken the dollar, whereas the vaccine will give a boost to the whole global economy. In those circumstances, any hint at the pair’s growth appears to a be a reason for buying it. No one wants to miss the train that will go to the north sooner or later. Formally, the reasons of EURUSD’s rally were Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi’s statement that a fiscal stimulus deal is still likely to be made before the election, and the Fed’s dovish comments. If the Democrats and the Republicans agree on economic help, S&P 500’s rally may continue, the global risk appetite will improve, and the greenback’s position will worsen. Still, the market didn’t believe Pelosi: a deal would raise Trump’s rating. What do the Democrats need that for? Also, Pelosi’s statement sounded too ultimatum-like: if not on Tuesday, then never! Fed’s Vice Chair Richard Clarida asserts that GDP’s pullback is connected in part with the Central bank’s and the Congress’ relief packages. He thinks that both the lawmakers and the Fed will need to provide additional support for GDP to continue recovering. Atlanta FED President Raphael Bostic believes that some areas of the US economy hardly ever recovered, or didn’t recover at all. If the Fed is planning to provide an extra stimulus and GDP isn’t recovering, how can we speak about any divergence between monetary policy and economic growth, selling EURUSD in the short term? During the fortnight ended on 13 October, hedge funds cut euro longs at the fastest pace over the last 8 months. EURUSD and speculative positions in eurohttps://preview.redd.it/sm3q5n39d8u51.jpg?width=562&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2014d5aa38de78e681c38b6099aa11e83177c0d5 Source: Bloomberg. Still, speculative positions aren’t likely to become net shorts: the negative US assets yield and Joe Biden’s probable victory don’t allow investors to buy out dollars. The Chinese yuan’s consolation may suggest the reasons of EURUSD’s rise to the top of figure 17. In spite of the People’s bank’s intention to put a spoke into USDCNH bears’ plans, the pair returned to the area of its 18-month lows and is ready to update them. That will draw it to the lowest value since July 2018. Investors overestimated the negative impact of China’s GDP’s moderate growth in Q3, and paid attention to strong statistics on industrial production and retail sales. Weekly trading plan for EURUSDI mentioned the yuan’s impact on the euro rate many times. Nevertheless, the eurozone’s domestic problems will prevent EURUSD from continuing the rally. The market is concerned about October’s data on European PMI. Most likely, the traders will be selling the euro at $1.178, $1.181 and $1.185 in the nearest time.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/if-only-euro-could-forecast-for-eurusd-for-20102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Weekly US dollar fundamental analysisMarkets are just like people. They follow their hearts from time to time and forget about common sense. Investors like the idea of the division in the Congress and the Democratic president. In this scenario, the risks of tax hikes and high tech companies' strict regulation are much lower. This fact supports the stock indexes. The S&P 500 has been up by 1% and more during four consecutive trading sessions, which has been for the first time since 1982. In percentage terms, those days have been the best since early April. Markets consider Joe Biden to be a better president than Donald Trump, which allowed the yuan to gain back more than 50% of the losses faced during trade wars. The EURUSD tested the resistance at 1.186-1.187.The growing chance of Biden’s victory encourages investors to spend the cash, which they have been accumulating ahead of the US presidential election. They are buying stocks and bonds. However, traders forget about other factors, such as the pandemic, uncertainty around the new fiscal stimulus, and Donald Trump’s willingness to reject the voting results. It looks like an attempt to give out desirable for valid. According to TD securities, there should not be any concerns about challenging the voting results, which has pushed the risky assets up and weakened the US dollar. DZ Bank believes that the greenback is falling because the voting results were reported earlier than some had expected. I do not think the above arguments to be strong. I suppose traders are following their hearts. They invest the capitals in the securities as they worry not to miss the uptrend, which sends the S&P 500 up, fuels global risk appetite, and weakens the US dollar against a basket of currencies. Dynamics of world's currencies versus the US dollarSource: Financial Times How long can it be going on? It depends. People in love are passionate during different periods. However, common sense should win sooner or later. The USA performs better than the euro area at the current stage of the economic cycle. The Fed is not willing to boost the monetary stimulus while the ECB tends to increase the current QE pace. According to Bloomberg’s leading indicators, the largest euro-area economies face a deeper drawdown in the PMIs because of the new lockdowns. The euro-area bond yields fall, which signals that the markets expect the ECB to take active measures in December. Recovery of the world’s economiesSource: Bloomberg Yields on the euro-area bondsSource: Wall Street Journal Weekly EURUSD trading planLet us be sensible during times of euphoria. Although the EURUSD has rebounded from the resistance at 1.186, the shorts entered in the zone seem vulnerable. It will be relevant to hold down the shorts if the pair goes below the support at 1.179. The S&P 500 rally could push the euro up above $1.188. The EURUSD medium-term outlook depends on whether the bulls can hold the price above 1.188.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-is-following-its-heart-forecast-as-of-06112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Monthly Australian dollar fundamental analysisHope for the best but do the rest. Although the major drivers of the AUDUSD 30% rally up from the March low have been the rapid recovery of China’s economy and the increase in the global risk appetite, the Australian dollar has domestic drivers as well. Australia efficiently manages the pandemic, and the government is willing to expand the fiscal stimulus. Australia’s Treasurer Josh Frydenberg is willing to provide money until the labor market returns to the full employment state. It is about the unemployment rate of 5%. The current unemployment rate is 6.8%, and it may grow to 8%-10%. It will hardly drop back to 5% before 2022.Investors expect the Treasury to boost the fiscal stimulus. As a result, the net debt burden will increase to AU$712 billion or to 38% of the GDP. At the same time, the national debt ceiling will be increased above AU$1.1 trillion, and the income tax hike, planned for 2022, will be delayed. In the USA, the national debt exceeds 100% of GDP, in the euro-area, it is close to 100%, the Japanese government debt is more than 200%. Canberra can afford additional stimulus. Besides, the expansion of government bonds issue will support the capital inflow in Australia and strengthen the Aussie. Australia’s government bond rates are the highest among the countries issuing the G10 currencies. Dynamics of Australia’s net debt, % of the GDPSource: Bloomberg Carry trades and high investment rating of Australia’s securities support and will support the AUDUSD bulls amid the high risk appetite and low volatility. That is the reason for the AUD correlation with the US stock indices. The turmoil in the S&P 500 market ahead of the US presidential election will suggest the AUDUSD consolidation. Dynamics of AUDUSD and S&P 500Source: Trading Economics In addition to the size of the additional fiscal stimulus, investors are focused on the RBA's willingness to expand the volume of monetary support. In September, the RBA officials discussed such measures as the interest-rate cut down to 0.1%, purchasing bonds with longer maturities than currently under QE, negative borrowing costs, and even FX interventions. The latter two options are aggressive, and the regulator will hardly resort to such measures. But it is likely to cut the interest rate by 12 basis points. The derivatives market suggests it will happen already this year. Monthly AUDUSD trading planExpectations of monetary expansion is a bearish factor for the AUD. However, I don’t think the RBA will do it in October. It is likely to leave the door open for the interest rate cut in the future and set the Aussie bulls back using verbal interventions. The RBA will hardly turn the uptrend down, so, its dovish stance will give a chance to buy the pair of the price fall. Following ht consolidation in the range of 0.695-0.735, the AUDUSD is likely to continue its rally up to 0.76 and 0.79. For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/aussie-goes-against-the-wind-forecast-as-of-05102020/ ?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Weekly US dollar fundamental forecastThe ECB attempts to weaken the euro fail. Philip Lane says the ECB already pursues an inflation strategy similar to the Fed. The European Central Bank is unwilling to tighten monetary policy until the inflation growth is reflected in the economic data. Nonetheless, the EURUSD doesn’t react to the ECB’s chief economist's speech and consolidates above figure 18 bottom. According to the HSBC, fiscal policy is currently the main factor in the financial markets, and central banks must admit that they have lost some power.Although the United States has invested in its economy more money than most other countries in the world and significantly more than during the previous economic crisis, the fiscal stimulus tends to exhaust quickly. The euro-area governments continue to support small businesses and individuals, while the US policymakers can’t reach an agreement on its extension. The new $1.8 trillion stimulus plan offered by the Republicans is the largest in scale and contrasts with Donald Trump's recent announcement to end negotiations with Democrats. However, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi rejects it, calling the plan insufficient. Sizes of fiscal stimulusSource: BloombergSome analysts suggested the new Republican proposal fueled the rally of the US stock indexes. The S&P 500 was 3.8% up in the week through October 9, having featured the best performance since July. I believe the US stock market is rising as the uncertainty around the US presidential election is lowering. Joe Biden’s chance to win is rising, and his victory shouldn't be such a disaster for the US stock indexes as expected earlier. According to RealClearPolitics, the gap between Biden and Trump is 9.6 percentage points. For comparison, in 2016, Hillary Clinton was 5.8 pp ahead of Donald Trump three weeks before the vote. JP Morgan suggests the corporate tax hike in the case of Joe Biden's victory will temporarily hinder the US stock market. The higher tax rate will take effect on January 1, 2022, and the S&P 500 is likely to face a storm in the fourth quarter of 2021. However, as the experience of 1987 and 2013 shows, when taxes were also increased, the storm would not last long. After the correction, the bulls should resume the uptrend. S&P 500 reaction to a corporate tax hikeSource: Bloomberg I believe the US stock market trend is a significant driver for the EURUSD. Ahead of the US presidential election, the pair follows the US stock indexes, mostly ignoring the ECB verbal interventions, the second COVID-19 wave, and the euro-area economic data. Weekly EURUSD trading planThe US dollar is a more significant Forex currency than the euro, so the ECB willingness to weaken the euro alone is not enough to discourage the EURUSD bulls. Amid the growth of Joe Biden's approval rating, the EURUSD should continue rallying up to 1.1865-1.188. However, Donald Trump is not giving up yet, so one could sell on the price rise.For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-follows-the-stock-market-forecast-as-of-12102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423 |
![]() | Fundamental US dollar forecast for todayInvestors will focus on the US presidential election in autumnMarkets are driven by investment ideas, which are generated first, then investors open positions, and finally, close them if something goes wrong. In spring, everybody was tracking the global risk appetite and the changes in the S&P500 value, to buy or sell the dollar pairs. In summer, they were focused on the divergence in the economic expansion between the euro area and the US, which sent the EUUSD to the highest level over the last two years. Once the market had had doubts about its efficiency, investors closed longs and sent the euro down.The PMI report in August has ruined the idea of the leading performance of the euro-area GDP over the US growth. The PMI is thought to be a leading indicator for the GDP. The US composite PMI has been up to its eighteen-month high, and its European peer has fallen from 54.9 to 51.6, making the EUUSD bulls exit longs. The US economy is being reopened after the lockdown introduced in the spring; it is surprisingly resilient to the coronavirus epidemic going in the country. The Eurozone’s growth is slowing down amid the rise in the number of new COVID-19 cases in Germany, France, and Spain to the levels recorded in May, and even in April. Dynamics of PMISource: Wall Street Journal Also, there are problems in the euro-area labor market. So, the Forex analysts say that the European economy is more likely to have a W-shaped recovery, rather than a V-shaped one. The programs of the population retention in the labor force existing in the euro area do not encourage people to find new jobs. The labor market is dynamic when it goes through the phases of rising and fall. If the fall is artificially averted, can we expect the employment boom in 2021-2022? The actual unemployment level may not be at the official level of 7.8% but is likely to be above 9%, and in Spain, it can be close 20%. What will happen when the assistance programs are over? In my opinion, things are not that bad. The growth in the new coronavirus cases in Europe results from the holiday season. Mostly young people are sick, most often asymptomatic, which explains the low number of hospitalizations and mortality. The GDP recovery will be slow both in the US and in the euro area, the markets need a fresh investment idea. It can well be the US presidential election. What is good for Donald Trump is good for the US dollar. Hence, the growing risks of Trump’s defeat will weigh on the USD. Therefore, the EUUSD can roll down in the short-term. But, in the long-term, the euro uptrend is likely to resume. My idea about the middle-term consolidation in the range of 1.158-1.188 looks more and more promising. So, I still recommend buying the euro on the rebound from the supports at $1.173, $1.168, and $1.162. For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-dollar-generates-a-new-idea/?uid=285861726&cid=79634 |
![]() | Fundamental U.S. dollar forecast for todayThe major currency pair is about to start consolidationOver the past four months, investors have been selling off the dollar, which seemed to have lost its profitability, against the world major currencies. The speculative net dollar shorts have reached the highest levels, and hedge funds have opened euro long positions the first time over the past two years. The market is confident that the EUUSD will be trading at 1.2 sooner or later. What if it is wrong? The dollar may still gain its strength back.As the greenback shorts are close to the highest levels, there can well start a correction. Few large banks and investment companies believe that the USD uptrend can resume soon, however, the EUUSD correction down may be rather deep. Dynamics of speculative positions and U.S. dollarSource: Bloomberg HSBC says the EUUSD bulls set the reasons for the further euro rally that have already worked out. Yes, the Fed lowered the interest rates more aggressively than the ECB, which sent the Treasury yield to the all-time lows. However, the ECB just couldn’t afford it. The ECB tool-kit is limited, as its interest rates are already close to zero. Yes, the Treasury yield has dropped, but will it go lower? Few believe that the FOMC will introduce negative interest rates. Even if it does, the US bond market rates are likely to have hit the bottom. The surge of the 10-year Treasury yield on August 10-11 has supported the US dollar, sending the gold price down. The idea of the growth gap between the U.S. and the euro-area looks appealing. However, the number of new COVID-19 cases in the USA starts declining, while it is increasing in some European regions. Furthermore, the US positive domestic data signal that the second coronavirus wave shouldn’t be as harmful to the US economy as the first one. When the forecasts for the US GDP are grim, and the euro-area growth, on the contrary, is expected to accelerate, any mismatches to the forecasts can encourage investors to sell off the EUUSD. Moreover, the greenback has been seasonally strong in the second half of the year also because of the capital repatriation to the USA. The USD grew on average by 3% in the quarter ahead of the seven previous presidential elections. So, there should be even less confidence that the euro uptrend will soon resume. Seasonal factor in USD average monthly changesSource: Bloomberg I believe such factors as the diversification of the global FX reserves in the favor of the euro and inflow of portfolio investments into the euro-area markets should support the euro uptrend in the future. In the meanwhile, traders should be prepared for the EUUSD middle-term consolidation in the range of 1.158-1.188. The scenario to buy at the support levels of 1.166 and 1.163 is still relevant. However, the euro bulls should be patent and focus on day-trading with narrow targets for a while. For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/fundamental-us-dollar-forecast-for-today/ ?uid=285861726&cid=79634 |
![]() | Hi everyone! Today I'd like to present you some necessary words of trading terminology that will help you to be a good trader and to understand a special service for a trading vfxAlert. submitted by JohnTrader11 to u/JohnTrader11 [link] [comments] Day Trading It is defined as the straightforward take action of getting shares of the inventory together with the purpose of promoting them on the very same time. Professional Day Trader A specialist working day forex trader can informally be regarded as somebody who day time transactions for a lifestyle, but coming from a regulatory standpoint, it means a forex trader who seems to be certified with either their Series 6, 7, 63, 65, or 66. Investors who definitely are certified pay increased service fees for market details. That is why whenever you open up a merchant account you will need to tell them if you are a specialist (registered) dealer. Working day investors are certainly not required to be registered if they are buying and selling their particular money. Pattern Day Trader Rules The Pattern Working day Forex trader (PDT) Principle claims that if a dealer will take 3 or maybe more time investments in a 5 working day period, they may be a day forex trader and so they must keep a lowest account balance of $25,000 USD. Numerous traders who are unable to preserve that equilibrium will business at either a Prop Company (see below), or at Suretrader / Tradezero. Swing Trading Golf swing Forex trading, contrary to Day Buying and selling, demands immediately maintain instances. Swing dealers holds stocks and shares for at least 1 night time, but perhaps a lot of times. These are very simple-term ventures. Stock Market Hours The current market is open from 9:30am -4pm EST Monday –Friday. You can find vacations when the market is sealed or shuts at 1pm. Pre-marketplace and after-hrs trading is accessible but liquidity is often extremely low since there aren’t a lot of purchasers or retailers buying and selling after hours. Bull or Bullish This term identifies a powerful market place of stocks and shares upgrading. This could be accustomed to reference a particular placement the investor takes. When they are bullish, they anticipate the stock to increase. Bear or Bearish This expression means a weakened market place. This means investors believe the buying price of stocks and shares or possibly a certain inventory will likely be heading down. When they are bearish, they can offer their bullish roles as well as acquire brief positions. Initial Public Offering (IPO) Whenever a organization does an IPO, they offer a set amount of gives to the available marketplace to boost money. This might be, as an example, ten million reveals. If those shares cost at $10/reveal, they are going to increase $100 million in the IPO. This money receives put in to the firm for long term expansion (creating industrial facilities, ideal investments, and so forth). Float Drift refers to the variety of exceptional offers accessible to business. Once the company do the original IPO, they released reveals. That quantity is generally the drift, although there are 3 methods the quantity of offers can change. The Float is equal to the availability level. Stocks with restricted provide and high demand are the type that relocate down or up the quickest. Share Buy Back A Reveal Acquire Back system happens when an organization purchases rear gives that have been distributed throughout the IPO. Using this method they may be lowering the amount of reveals accessible to industry and everybody positioning reveals in the business will find their gives surge in value. Discuss Buy Backs will decrease the float. Secondary Offering A additional providing is an supplying which is provided following the First General public Supplying. Even though an organization functions multiple additional products, they may be always called second (not thirdly, 4th, etc). A secondary offering will raise money for that firm by offering a lot more offers. This improves the flow of shares in the marketplace and lessens the price of those shares. This is certainly generally not one thing long term buyers want to see. Stock Splits Stock Split can change the price tag on a stock. The apple company managed a 7:1 stock split. The $700 carry increased all gives by 7 to lower the cost of the carry to $100. This means in the event you held 1,000 offers at $700, congratulations, you very own 7,000 at $100. This increased the drift. Some firms will do a Turn back stock divide. A 10:1 reverse inventory split can take a stock buying and selling at $1.00 and turn it into $10.00. Should you be previously positioning 1,000 reveals at $1.00, you will basically be keeping 100 offers at $10 after the divided. More information on website vfxAlert.com https://preview.redd.it/0zvp8yj9zqd51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=5bc600625f00d47bbad3e48827fbf020ebc5cf5d |
![]() | The binary option trading is a somewhat new device for producing funds, this is why it scares beginner investors. Numerous signs, intricate charts and many dishonest brokers make understanding binary alternatives very hard. submitted by vfxAlert to u/vfxAlert [link] [comments] A lot of try their hands at binary options trading, but forget one main issue - without theory and understanding the way it operates, investing success can not be accomplished, regardless that it is quite easy initially. An investing method is the only method to generate profits buying and selling binary possibilities. Many different earning options have been created and described most of the methods perfectly help the investor to navigate this issue. https://preview.redd.it/acjkcuybwqd51.jpg?width=2560&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0318dc266e92992a61875b8d816a405013dceffa It is actually on the basis of the approach the dealer programs on which indications to navigate, what signals and beacons he uses. On our site, there are actually numerous working strategies for binary options and free of charge impulses for binary alternatives. They are fantastic instruments to discover how to make money on binary choices. Bear in mind, should you be a total beginner, we recommend that you start having a demonstration profile and free of charge impulses, study one method after another and judge for your self one method that is fantastic for you. Signals for binary options are the cornerstone of your buying and selling technique and productive forex trading. This really is component of your personal, distinctive buying and selling strategy. Rookie forex traders comprehensive review the theory, using impulses, understand strategies for binary options, training, accumulating the necessary amount of capabilities. All these steps are established into a unique trading technique of the forex trader. To create income, signs for binary choices are used by newbies and profitable investors, ever since the impulses permit you to make a predict on the cost transform. Temperature charts present how accurate the sign is and getting a total picture from the evaluation before your eyes in just one window together with the agent, the investor can certainly make an accurate predict in the deal. On our website, you will find the essential resources for that amateur forex trader. It is essential to understand that the beginning of trading is the study of theory, and only then exercise and look for ideal equipment. |
![]() | В войне с долларом победит русское и китайское золото submitted by nekitosh0 to PikabuPolitics [link] [comments] Профессор Катасонов о том, каким должен быть наш валютный «ответ Чемберлену» Российские СМИ в конце июня растиражировали новость: Москва и Пекин договорились о переходе на российско-китайские расчеты в национальных валютах. Это следует из ответа заместителя министра финансов Сергея Сторчака в письме на запрос председателя комитета по финансовым рынкам Государственной Думы Анатолия Аксакова о том, что сделано для «активизации работы по развитию взаиморасчетов с экономическими партнерами России в национальных валютах в целях укрепления экономической безопасности страны». В ответе сказано, что первый вице-премьер РФ, министр финансов Антон Силуанов и председатель Народного банка Китая И Ган подписали межправительственное соглашение о переходе на расчеты в национальных валютах. Оказывается, подписание соглашения произошло еще 5 июня, а журналисты об этом узнали лишь три недели спустя. Заголовки, посвященные этому событию были следующими: «Россия и Китай отказались от расчетов в долларах», «Третий лишний: Пекин и Москва выкинули доллар», «Пекин и Москва нанесли смертельный удар доллару», «Национальные валюты заняли ключевые позиции в российско-китайских отношениях» и т. п. Если многие заголовки понимать буквально, то получается, что переход на национальные валюты (российский рубль и китайский юань) уже состоялся. Но желаемое выдается за действительное. Тот же Анатолий Аксаков в своих комментариях данной новости признал, что пока на рубль в российско-китайской торговле приходится около 10% всех платежей (кстати, приведенная им цифра завышена по сравнению с данными ЦБ РФ). Чтобы национальные валюты стали доминирующими в торговле двух стран нужно время и титанические усилия. Причем, нет гарантии, что успех будет достигнут. Давайте посмотрим на валютную структуру платежей по внешней торговле России и Китая за последние годы. В 2013 году в валютной выручке России от экспорта в Китай товаров и услуг на российский рубль приходилось 1,2%, на доллар США — 97,8%, на евро — 0,9%, на прочие валюты — 0,4%. Отмечу, что за «прочими валютами» скрывается юань, иные валюты в этой позиции присутствуют в гомеопатических дозах. А теперь картина по 2018 году (%): российский рубль — 6,2; доллар США — 79,2; евро — 10,1; прочие валюты — 4,5. В валютных перечислениях России по импорту из Китая товаров и услуг картина в 2013 году выглядела следующим образом (%): российский рубль — 5,4; доллар США — 88,6; евро — 3,8; прочие валюты — 2,3. А вот картина по состоянию на 2018 год (%): российский рубль — 4,3; доллар США — 72,1; евро — 4,3; прочие валюты — 19,3. Как видим, за пятилетний период (2013−2018 гг.) революционных изменений в валютной структуре российско-китайской торговли не произошло. Даже если предположить, что за «прочими валютами» скрывается исключительно китайский юань, тогда доля национальных валют (рубль + юань) в экспорте России в Китай с 1,6% в 2013 году увеличилась до 10,7% в 2018 г. В импорте- с 7,7% до 23,6%. Напомню, что за указанное пятилетие было много заявлений обеих сторон о желании и готовности уходить от доллара США и переключаться на национальные валюты. Так, в 2014 году готовилось соглашение о более широком использовании национальных валют во взаимных расчетах. Однако в 2015 году долларизация лишь усилилась. И причина этого проста: в декабре 2014 году произошел оглушительный обвал российского рубля. И китайская сторона дистанцировалась от российской валюты в пользу доллара США. В прошлом году также готовилось соглашение между Москвой и Пекином о переходе на национальные валюты, но в ноябре китайская сторона отказалась от соглашения. А оно уже было анонсировано в российских СМИ. Российский Минфин, который вел эти переговоры, выглядел очень неприглядно после этой истории. У меня нет никакой уверенности в том, что и нынешнее соглашение будет выполняться сторонами неукоснительно. И российский рубль, и китайский юань не очень-то конкурентоспособны по сравнению с долларом. Во-первых, они имеют ограниченную конвертируемость (особенно юань). Во-вторых, подвержены рискам резких колебаний курсов (особенно рубль). Скажу жестче: подобные соглашения создают ложные надежды и, вероятно, являются самообманом российских чиновников, верящих в магическую силу подобных соглашений. Попытки перехода на национальные валюты в межгосударственных платежах и расчетах — тупиковый путь. Любая денежная единица, выходящая за границы страны своего происхождения, неизбежно становится игрушкой в руках валютных спекулянтов. Особенно если речь идет о денежных единицах государств периферии мирового капитализма (ПМК). А Россия на данный момент точно относится к странам ПМК. С помощью таких «пляшущих» валют не только нельзя организовать нормальных международных расчетов, но и выстраивать национальную экономику. Китаю никаких рекомендаций давать не собираюсь. А вот в отношении России могу точно сказать: она не встанет с колен и будет оставаться экономикой ПМК до тех пор, пока не сделает российский рубль действительно национальной валютой. Это означает, что рубль не должен выходить за пределы государственных границ Российской Федерации. Именно так была устроена советская экономика, денежное обращение которой было основано на рубле. Обращение было двухконтурным: безналичный контур (расчеты и платежи между предприятиями и организациями); наличный контур (обслуживание населения — зарплаты, пенсии, стипендии; розничная торговля и сфера бытовых услуг). С внешним миром расчеты велись с помощью свободно конвертируемых валют (СКВ), которые находились в ведении специально уполномоченных организаций (Банк для внешней торговли). Вывоз советских рублей за границу было уголовно наказуемым деянием. Казалось бы, мой экскурс в советскую экономическую историю должен подводить к выводу: мол, ничего не надо менять в российско-китайских торгово-экономических отношениях, пусть доллар США и остается валютой взаимных расчетов. А российский рубль точно следует убрать из расчетов. Но, как говорится, «два раза в одну реку войти нельзя». Буквально советский опыт на современные российско-китайские отношения распространить нельзя. Во времена СССР у США не было такого оружия, как блокировка расчетов, проходящих через СВИФТ. Система СВИФТ была учреждена лишь в 1973 году, и ее значение для международных расчетов и платежей в 70−80-е гг. не было так велико, как в наше время. Плюс к этому Вашингтон тогда не успел еще поставить под свой контроль систему СВИФТ. Значит, не рубль, не юань, не доллар США. А что же? Ответ лежит на поверхности. Золото. Россия и Китай — лидеры по производству «желтого металла» в мире. Уже на протяжении ряда лет добыча золота в Китае превышает 400 тонн в год, страна занимает первое место в мире. Россия также набирает обороты. Если в 2014 году российская добыча составляла 232,6 т, то в прошлом году она уже выросла до 264,4 т. А если учесть еще попутное и вторичное золото, то общий объем производства «желтого металла» в нашей стране в 2018 году превысил 314 тонн. И наша страна, и Китай быстро наращивают золотые запасы в составе международных резервов (по состоянию на май текущего года они были равны соответственно 2183,4 и 1900,4 тонн). В истекшем году товарооборот российско-китайской торговли составил примерно 107 млрд долл., причем наш импорт из Китая был равен 48 млрд долл., а наш экспорт в Китай — 59 млрд долл. При средних ценах на «желтый металл» в прошлом году стоимость произведенного в России золота в 2018 году составила почти 125 млрд долл. А стоимость золота, добытого в Китае в том же году, — более 140 млрд долл. Нетрудно подсчитать, что для оплаты нашего китайского импорта в прошлом году потребовалось бы примерно 38% произведенного в России за это время золота. Для оплаты Китаем товаров из России потребовалось бы примерно 42% добытого в Поднебесной драгоценного металла. На самом деле, для расчетов по российско-китайской торговле золота может потребоваться в разы или в десятки раз меньше. Для более рационального использования валюты и денежного металла существует такой инструмент, как валютные клиринги. А они дают гигантскую экономию в валюте и золоте. Клиринги необходимы только для того, чтобы покрывать сальдо расчетов за определенный период времени. В прошлом веке мировая торговля опиралась на двух- и многосторонние клиринги. Советский Союз очень активно использовал этот инструмент расчетов как в торговле с социалистическими, так и капиталистическими странами. Если бы в торговле России и Китая использовались клиринговые расчеты, то тогда для покрытия образовавшегося отрицательного сальдо в торговле с Россией Китаю потребовалось бы всего 11 млрд долл. А по отношению к его прошлогодней добыче «желтого металла» это составляет всего-навсего 8 процентов. Я сейчас не рассматриваю технические моменты механизма золотого клиринга, а излагаю лишь концепцию настоящей, эффективной де-долларизации российско-китайских торгово-экономических отношений. Кстати, у нас есть все возможности для того, чтобы использовать золото в качестве реальной альтернативы доллару США и в торговле с другими странами. В прошлом году внешнеторговый оборот России составил 693 млрд долл., в том числе экспорт — 444 млрд долл., а импорт — 249 млрд долл. Если сопоставить объем импорта с объемом произведенного золота в нашей стране, то оказывается, что с помощью «желтого металла» можно было покрыть половину импорта. Но, на самом деле нам для закупок на мировом рынке товаров большого количества золота не потребуется, если мы перейдем на клиринговые расчеты с нашими партнерами. Доверие к клирингам с участием России будет высоким, если наши обязательства по расчетам будут обеспечиваться золотом. Рука экономических санкций Вашингтона до клирингов и золота дотянуться не сможет. Россия получит возможность встать с колен. А также может помочь и своим торговым партнерам. https://svpressa.ru/economy/article/237026/ Лучшая инвестновость дня: На Чукотке будут добывать золото На Чукотке подписаны соглашения по освоению золоторудных месторождений Клён и Кекура. Проект осуществляют «Корпорация развития Дальнего Востока», компании «Клён» и «Базовые металлы» — они уже стали резидентами территории опережающего развития (ТОР) «Чукотка». АО «Базовые металлы» построит горно-перерабатывающий комбинат на базе месторождения Кекура. В проект будет вложено свыше 18 млрд рублей. ООО «Клён» создаст горно-перерабатывающий комплекс на базе одноимённого золотосеребряного месторождения. Инвестиции в проект составят 7,5 млрд рублей. В церемонии подписания соглашения приняли участие полномочный представитель президента России в Дальневосточном федеральном округе Юрий Трутнев и глава региона Роман Копин. «Производство золота и серебра — перспективный проект в долгосрочной перспективе, учитывая стабильно высокие цены драгоценных металлов, — отмечает аналитик сырьевого рынка Дмитрий Александров. — Это особенно актуально с учетом волатильности на рынке и падением стоимости валют, ценных бумаг и т.д. »Событию присвоен статус «Лучшая инвестновость» в дайджесте региональных инвестиционных новостей журнала «Инвест-Форсайт» от 4 июля 2019. https://www.if24.ru/luchshaya-investnovost-dnya-na-chukotke-budut-dobyvat-zoloto/ Трамп и золото в 2019-м Сразу после избрания Трампа президентом в 2016-м инвестиционный мейнстрим ожидал, что фискальные стимулы Трампа разгонят экономику, а вместе с ней и долларовую доходность, что спровоцирует рост доллара по всему спектру FOREX. На этих ожиданиях золото рухнуло тогда больше, чем на 10%, в район $1125 за унцию, после чего начало постепенно восстанавливаться. Комментируя те движения, мы отмечали, что, вопреки вере инвестиционного мейнстрима, правление Трампа будет скорее позитивно для золота и негативно для доллара. Потому что для эффективной реализации его протекционистской предвыборной программы по возвращению производства в США Трампу нужен слабый доллар, а однозначно произраильская позиция Трампа еще и добавит золоту геополитической премии. По прошествии двух с половиной лет можно констатировать, что наш долгосрочный прогноз оправдывается. За этот период доллар пережил в 2017-м году чуть ли не худшее полугодие с начала века, потом скорректировался в 2018-м под давлением политики ФРС по «нормализации» баланса, и сейчас снова слабеет, потому что ФРС, видя все признаки окончания бизнес-цикла, сменила курс и анонсировала контрциклическую политику. Торговые войны Трампа стали дополнительным фактором в пользу усиления валютных войн и фактором торможения глобального роста, который и так естественно замедляется в конце бизнес-цикла. ФРС оказалась под непрерывным политическим давлением Трампа, и ее независимость начинает ставиться под сомнение. Санкционная политика Трампа привела к стремлению обойти американскую финансовую систему и доллар в международных расчетах. Европейские участники ядерного соглашения с Ираном запустили специальный механизм расчетов с Ираном, в обход SWIFT и доллара. В Брюсселе ставят задачу расширить применение евро в международных расчетах, аналогичную задачу ставят в Пекине в отношении юаня. Россия сократила свои вложения в казначейские облигации США, нарастив долю золота и юаня в своих резервах. Китай также энергично скупает золото. За январь-март 2019 года центробанки нарастили покупки золота до шестилетнего максимума. Индекс доллара снижается, но пока еще далек от своих минимумов конца 2017-го, начала 2018-го года. Главная причина – слабость евро. ЕЦБ на фоне обострения торговых войн, спровоцировавших промышленную рецессию в Германии, отказался от нормализации монетарной политики, а с осени запускает очередную программу монетарного стимулирования. Победившие в Италии евроскептики ругают монетарный союз и «сильный» (для итальянской экономики) евро, постоянно угрожая ослаблением фискальной дисциплины. Это также не способствует устойчивости европейской валюты. Полагаем, и Банк Японии не останется в стороне от валютных войн, ну а у Банка Англии вообще может не оказаться альтернативы продолжению политики околонулевых ставок и девальвации фунта в сценарии «жесткого» Brexit, к которому ведут британские консерваторы. Все это – доводы в пользу того, что доллар, если и просядет еще к основным валютам, то не сильно. Однако в отношении золота такие аргументы не работают. Центробанки могут и любят «печатать» деньги, но он не могут печатать металл. Цену золота, конечно, можно размыть непокрытыми продажами на фьючерсном рынке, но такая манипуляция не может длиться вечно, чему свидетельство, кстати, недавняя динамика золота. Когда цена в очередной раз приблизилась к многолетнему сопротивлению в районе $1360, хедж-фонды, ставившие на падение золота, не выдержали, и на фьючерсном рынке случился шорт-сквиз – лавинообразное закрытие коротких позиций с выбросом цены вверх. Также и банки, зарабатывавшие на золотых свопах за счет дифференциала ставок лизинга золота и долларового денежного рынка, вынуждены теперь хеджировать свои позиции от дальнейшего роста цены. Это, среди прочего, является причиной того, что, хотя индекс доллара еще далек от минимумов 2017-2018, золото уже находится на новых локальных максимумах. Стало быть, золото выглядит сейчас как лучшая страховка от дальнейшего развития слабости доллара и активности Трампа. Технически, район $1360-1370 стал теперь сильной поддержкой. После недавнего выброса цены вверх рынок должен «остыть», и этот диапазон, вероятно, будет протестирован сверху. Мы полагаем, что покупать золото на коррекции сейчас – правильная тактика. Ниже этой ключевой поддержки оно в среднесрочной перспективе вряд ли вернется. Вполне вероятно, не вернется уже никогда, так как цикл ужесточения денежной политики ФРС, по всей видимости, закончен, а лечить вновь нарастающие в глобальном масштабе проблемы денежными инъекциями стало за последнее десятилетие привычным делом. Дмитрий Голубовский аналитик ФГ «Калита-Финанс» https://ru.investing.com/analysis/article-200256283 Археолог нашел в подвале московского дома золото на 1,5 миллиона рублей, которое спрятали от революции Более 60 золотых монет хранились в подвале одного из домов в Костянском переулке Обнаруженные монеты датируют рубежом XIX и XX веков Московские археологи нашли в Костянском переулке клад золотых монет времен правления Императора Николая Второго. Золотые номиналом 5 и 10 рублей были спрятаны до или после революции 1917 года. Кто-то сложил монеты в жестяную коробку от монпансье, и закопал ее в подвале дома. Клад ждал своего хозяина более 100 лет. Им стал удачливый археолог 21-го века Константин Кретинин. - Клад был обнаружен 40-летним московским археологом Константином Кретининым, который умеет правильно обследовать строительные объекты. На обследуемой территории им была выявлена старинная хозяйственная яма, где сначала были обнаружены подсвечники, курительные трубки 19-го века. При тщательной расчистке этого места, которое было выявлено фактически под асфальтом, нашлись и золотые монеты. Кто-то выбросил их в старую яму в начале прошлого века. Это не первая серьезная находка Константина Юрьевича. При обследовании Серебрянической набережной (Таганский район) ему посчастливилось найти перстни и кресты 18-го века, - сообщил "Комсомолке" заместитель генерального директора ООО "Археологические изыскания в строительстве" Владимир Беркович. Кстати, так как нашедший клад оказался археологом, который получает за свою профессиональную деятельность зарплату, вознаграждение ему не грозит. О самом кладе рассказал глава Мосгорнаследия Алексей Емельянов: - Сколько монет точно, сказать пока сложно, скорее всего, порядка 60 штук. Также виден номинал - 5 и 10 рублей. Деньги датируют рубежом 19 и 20 веков. Вероятно, хозяин спрятал их в подвале во времена революции или гражданской войны. Этот клад стал одним из самых крупных, найденных в Москве за последние несколько лет. Его стоимость предварительно оценивается порядка миллиона рублей, - прокомментировал находку он. Почему сложно сказать сколько именно монет? Монеты оказались "спекшиеся": возможно, дом, который стоял на этом месте в 20 веке сильно горел и монеты прикипели друг к другу. Разбирать их археологи не стали, а сразу вызвали полицию, которая опечатала почти килограмм золота. После описи и экспертизы монеты вернут археологам и клад попадет в музей. - Революционный клад. В такие обычно входило оружие или монеты из червонцев, которые откладывали горожане во время экономического кризиса Первой Мировой войны. После Октябрьской революции 1917 года многие пытались скрыть свои накопления, но не всем в итоге они пригодились, - пояснил заместитель руководителя Департамента культурного наследия, главный археолог Москвы Леонид Кондрашев. По предварительной оценке золотые монеты не представляют большой исторической ценности: среди них нет юбилейных или редких. Такую имперскую "ходячку" можно сегодня купить в интернете в большом количестве. Если средства позволяют. - Клад не имеет большой исторической ценности, но сам по себе дорогой. Золотые монеты Николая Второго номиналом 5 рублей сегодня продают по 13-25 тысяч рублей, а червонцы торгуют по 25-30 тысяч. Если есть первые года правления последнего царя, то цена будет значительно больше. Рыночная цена такого клада зависит также и от состояния монет. В среднем, стоимость такого числа золотых времен Николая Второго может доходить до 1,5 миллионов рублей, - подсчитал руководитель "Кладоискательской конторы Владимир Порываев" Владимир Порываев. Археологи решили продолжить работы в Костянском переулке. Им в этом году везет: ранее во время раскопок на берегу реки Яузы в районе Серебрянической набережной нашли металлический значок дворника конца XIX века и уникальную старинную столовую посуду: стеклянный стакан и оловянную тарелку европейского производства. https://www.ufa.kp.ru/daily/26997/4058474/ https://preview.redd.it/gs0ze2tspf831.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b844ab98e759af50db4e36ca767d2d1aba034320 «Вновь золото манит нас!» Не желаете прикупить готовый бизнес по золотодобыче? Весна и лето – горячая пора для российские золотоискателей. Все желающие могут приобщиться к этому нелегкому, но захватывающему делу. Готовый бизнес по добыче золота представлен на Авито. Так, всего за 100 млн рублей можно стать хозяином месторождения рудного золота с лицензией как на добычу, так и на разведку до 2020 года с возможностью продления. Участок площадью 41 кв. км. расположен в четырех километрах западнее города Ивдeль в Cвepдлoвcкoй oблacти. По данным автора объявления, запасы по россыпи достигают 400 килограммов. Еще одно месторождение россыпного золота продается в Тындинском районе Амурской области за 70 млн рублей. В 20 км от него расположена станция Ларба Байкало-Амурской железнодорожной магистрали. Также в Тындинском и Зейском районах Амурской области продаются три участка с запасами по 250, 702 и 216 кг с лицензией до 2030 года. Самое дорогое на Авито предложение – это месторождения россыпного золота в Ульчском районе Хабаровского края. До ближайшего поселения 140 км, зато здесь есть свой рабочий поселок и склад ГСМ. Месторождения находятся на пяти лицензионных участках. Их запасы составляют 3 110,6 кг. Стоимость этого сокровища – 1.1 млрд рублей. https://mega-u.ru/node/58605 |
China has failed to curb excesses in its credit system and faces mounting risks of a full-blown banking crisis(中国债务/GDP 占比图)
(中国已对债务违约失去控制,他们正在面对随之而来的全面性银行危机)
Ah, but maybe you want to look around a bit and see how China’s total debt is compared with other economies, like this?
Pipcoin is Africa’s first P2P Cryptocurrency and is more seen as an emerging digital currency that seeks to revolutionize accessibility and raise awareness about the importance of online trading to the multitudes of both the aspirant traders and those who are completely unaware of the abounding benefits and opportunities offered by the digital market. Thus, for all its worth as a potential life-changing tool, we want Pipcoin to be everybody’s business.So this is new... lets take a look at their FAQ's because I have many! here are my favourite bits:
What Is The Structure Of A Pipcoin? Pipcoin Concept (for developers) -IF YOU HAVE 0,9999 MICRO-PIPS THEN IT WILL BE ROUNDED OFF TO 1.0000 – MAKING IT 1 PIPCOIN-lol really? Where does that extra micro
Why Pipcoin Isnt A Get Rich Quick Scheme Whenever there is a new digital breakthrough it is natural for people to be sceptic, this has been scientifically proven. Even at one stage the internet was said to be a scam, same goes to online trading, they said it won’t last. Same goes to Facebook; they said it’s an information-leaking scam. Same goes again to Bitcoin they said it’s a ‘failed experiment’. Pipcoin is the people’s currency and can never in a scale be compared to ponzi schemes and investment bonanzas; Pipcoin is a friend-to-friend digital currency which has its own crypto keys and public ledger just like any other legit digital currency. Everyone is a host to the currency, every participants’ computers serve as servers to the system and just like forex trading it is a zero-sum game, when you buy the coins there will be someone selling to you.SkepticalHippoIsSkeptical.jpg
Who Is The Founder Of Pipcoin? However the inception of the idea can be credited to David Schwartz and the inception of the algorithm and mathematics behind to Ref Wayne, a 21 year old South African who is behind the creation of most high-tech forensic software as well as the indicators for financial trading platform (Forex Metatrader), it is without chance that the creation of Pipcoin is water-proof and crack-free.Aside from the laughable wording, this is perhaps the most interesting part. If you can make it through this interview or this video his story sounds a lot like this "David Schwartz" story here. Excuse the popups but give it a read and obviously the comments at the bottom.
Is Pipcoin Legal? ...After all, there is no authority that can stop anyone from buying and selling a product online.hahahahahahahahAHAHAha!
Do I Need To Provide Any Id Documents To Join Pipcoin is a cryptocurrency which means it’s completely encrypted, even for its users, it remains completely confidential. You don’t need to submit any documents.erm... surely this goes against SO many laws in SA?
How Reliable Is This Website In Terms Of Security And Keeping Personal Data And Pipcoins [no ? at the end of these ones for some reason] We pay great attention to security and the confidential information on the website is protected by EV SSL. We don’t divulge any personal data of members to third parties. Your participation too, is strictly confidential.thats...not really explaining it at all. SSL isnt the be-all and end all - but oh there's another one right below. Im sure that'll clear it up...
Are You Protected From Hackers We have installed power Anti-DDOS protection on our servers and have many other security measures.well that settles it.
All references to the ‘company,’ ‘us,’ ‘our,’ ‘we’ or ‘Pipchain’ means Pipchain South Africa S.a.r.l., a company registered under the laws of South Africa, with a share capital of EUR 55,222.08, having its registered address at L-2340 South Africa, 1, rue Philippe II, registered with the South Africa Trade and Companies Register under number B 190.078 (Business License number B190078).I tried to find out if thats real but I couldnt figure out how to do it via the new http://www.cipc.co.za/ site.
Their privacy policy link https://pipchain.com/PrivacyPolicy.pdf 404'swut?!
Typos galore eg - " Server failure ordata loss;"
We make no warranty that the Website or the server that makes it available, are free of viruses or errors, that its content is accurate, that it will be uninterrupted, or that defects will be corrected.
wut2
- AGREEMENT TO HOLD PIPCHAIN HARMLESS
7.2. If you are obligated to indemnify us, we will have the right, in our sole discretion, to control any action or proceeding (at our expense) and determine whether we wish to settle it.ok...
9.1. You need not use a Pipchain Wallet. If you wish to use the Wallet, you must create a wallet with Pipchain to access the Services (“Wallet”)I need an adult.
10.5. No Storage or Transmission of Pipcoins. Pipcoins are an intangible, digital asset. They exist only by virtue of the ownership record maintained in the Pipcoin network. The Services do not store, send or receive Pipcoins. Any transfer of title that might occur in any Pipcoins occurs on the decentralized ledger within the Pipcoin network and not within the Services. We do not guarantee that the Service can effect the transfer of title or right in any Pipcoins.and
10.8. No Cancellations or Modifications. Once transaction details have been submitted to the Pipcoin network via the Services, The Services cannot assist you to cancel or otherwise modify your transaction details. Pipchain has no control over the Pipcoin Network and does not have the ability to facilitate any cancellation or modification requests.In the SABC interview (linked at the top of this post) the CEO says he took bitcoin and 'modified' it to be safer and so you can track 'stolen or lost' coins. So thats a lie.
erm, ok but because PIPcoins can only be traded on their website and not transferred to anything else... how does that work?
- DISCONTINUANCE OF SERVICES 15.1. We may, in our sole discretion and without cost to you, with or without prior notice and at any time, modify or discontinue, temporarily or permanently, any portion of our Services. You are solely responsible for storing, outside of the Services, a backup of any Wallet Address and Private Key pair that you maintain in your Wallet.
17.1.3. Use any robot, spider, crawler, scraper or other automated means or interface not provided by us to access our Services or to extract data; 17.1.4. Use or attempt to use another user’s Wallet without authorizationthe enter key is a hard one to find on a laptop I'll give them that one...
The company has promised that it will soon be issuing a debit card. Promising to issue a debit is an old trick used by fraudulent companies to create a false sense of trust and legitimacy to unsuspecting investors.and
The transfer of pipcoins is verified by one sources, instead of 3 independent source as is usually the case with legitimate crypto currencies with a blockchain.and
They also use wording similar to ‘get-rich-quick' scheme lines such as “Pipcoin will create over a 100 millionaires by the end of this financial year”. These are revealing signs of a fraudulent scheme. Moreover, pipcoin is a closed system, you cannot trade with anyone other than randomly chose people registered on the website. Their blockchain is not public or transparent, in fact, they do not have a blockchain and, if they do have one, then it is not operational.So who's behind it? Who is this Ref dude?
"This website was built as a public service announcement by concerned citizens (and shows what a legitimate site should look like"I did try connect with the 'owner' via twitter to find the source/calculation of the "R40 314 800,00 lost & counting" figure but so far no reply.
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