Demonstração de conta de Opção binária Itaguaí

Amazon Plans About 10,000 Layoffs In Retail, Devices & HR Units | Deadline

Amazon Plans About 10,000 Layoffs In Retail, Devices & HR Units | Deadline submitted by Calico_fox to KotakuInAction [link] [comments]

[Offer] Find Flights or Plan Trips for $10/Hr

I will help you find flights or plan trips for $10/Hr. Even if you don’t know where you want to go, I can help!
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[Offer] Find Flights or Plan Trips for $10/Hr

I will help you find flights or plan trips for $10/Hr. Even if you don’t know where you want to go, I can help!
submitted by BicycleFinal5559 to DoneDirtCheap [link] [comments]

Find Flights and Plan Trips Starting at $10/Hr

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submitted by BicycleFinal5559 to traveldeals [link] [comments]

[PS5] [Competitive] [Fantasy Draft] [Very Active!] {Week 10} < 48 hr advances, Plans on going for 4+ seasons

This is a laid back consistent league. if you are looking to join a community where you learn some madden, share laughs and jokes on discord and just trying to make some friends along the way, this is the place to be at! Only join if you are very active on discord. We plan on Doing Multiple Seasons (3+ ) Build a community Trade Blocks to build ideal team Celebrate champions and winners Join here:

Join discord for further information
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1 hr erg this evening. Averaged 1:59.1. Rate started and at 18 and the plan was up a point every 10 mins but it didn’t really happen. M, 16, 6’4, 80kg

1 hr erg this evening. Averaged 1:59.1. Rate started and at 18 and the plan was up a point every 10 mins but it didn’t really happen. M, 16, 6’4, 80kg submitted by saltifinger to Rowing [link] [comments]

Strange Things Volume II: Triffin's Dilemma and The Dollar Milkshake

Strange Things Volume II: Triffin's Dilemma and The Dollar Milkshake
As the Fed begins their journey into a deflationary blizzard, they are beginning to break markets across the globe. As the World Reserve Currency, over 60% of all international trade is done in Dollars, and USDs are the largest Foreign Exchange (Forex) holdings by far for global central banks. Now all foreign currencies are crashing against the Dollar as the vicious feedback loops of Triffin’s Dilemma come home to roost. The Dollar Milkshake has begun.
The Fed, knowingly or unknowingly, has walked into this trap- and now they find themselves caught underneath the Sword of Damocles, with no way out…

Sword Of Damocles
“The famed “sword of Damocles” dates back to an ancient moral parable popularized by the Roman philosopher Cicero in his 45 B.C. book “Tusculan Disputations.” Cicero’s version of the tale centers on Dionysius II, a tyrannical king who once ruled over the Sicilian city of Syracuse during the fourth and fifth centuries B.C.
Though rich and powerful, Dionysius was supremely unhappy. His iron-fisted rule had made him many enemies, and he was tormented by fears of assassination—so much so that he slept in a bedchamber surrounded by a moat and only trusted his daughters to shave his beard with a razor.
As Cicero tells it, the king’s dissatisfaction came to a head one day after a court flatterer named Damocles showered him with compliments and remarked how blissful his life must be. “Since this life delights you,” an annoyed Dionysius replied, “do you wish to taste it yourself and make a trial of my good fortune?” When Damocles agreed, Dionysius seated him on a golden couch and ordered a host of servants wait on him. He was treated to succulent cuts of meat and lavished with scented perfumes and ointments.
Damocles couldn’t believe his luck, but just as he was starting to enjoy the life of a king, he noticed that Dionysius had also hung a razor-sharp sword from the ceiling. It was positioned over Damocles’ head, suspended only by a single strand of horsehair.
From then on, the courtier’s fear for his life made it impossible for him to savor the opulence of the feast or enjoy the servants. After casting several nervous glances at the blade dangling above him, he asked to be excused, saying he no longer wished to be so fortunate.”
Damocles’ story is a cautionary tale of being careful of what you wish for- Those who strive for power often unknowingly create the very systems that lead to their own eventual downfall. The Sword is often used as a metaphor for a looming danger; a hidden trap that can obliterate those unaware of the great risk that hegemony brings.
Heavy lies the head which wears the crown.

There are several Swords of Damocles hanging over the world today, but the one least understood and least believed until now is Triffin’s Dilemma, which lays the bedrock for the Dollar Milkshake Theory. I’ve already written extensively about Triffin’s Dilemma around a year ago in Part 1.5 and Part 4.3 of my Dollar Endgame Series, but let’s recap again.
Here’s a great summary- read both sides of the dilemma:

Triffin's Dilemma Summarized

(Seriously, stop here and go back and read Part 1.5 and Part 4.3 Do it!)

Essentially, Triffin noted that there was a fundamental flaw in the system: by virtue of the fact that the United States is a World Reserve Currency holder, the global financial system has built in GLOBAL demand for Dollars. No other fiat currency has this.
How is this demand remedied? With supply of course! The United States thus is forced to run current account deficits - meaning it must send more dollars out into the world than it receives on a net basis. This has several implications, which again, I already outlined- but I will list in summary format below:
  1. The United States has to be a net importer, ie it must run trade deficits, in order to supply the world with dollars. Remember, dollars and goods are opposite sides of the same equation, so a greater trade deficits means that more dollars are flowing out to the world.
  2. (This will devastate US domestic manufacturing, causing political/social/economic issues at home.)
  3. These dollars flow outwards into the global economy, and are picked up by institutions in a variety of ways.
  4. First, foreign central banks will have to hold dollars as Foreign Exchange Reserves to defend their currency in case of attack on the Forex markets. This was demonstrated during the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-98, when the Thai Baht, Malaysian Ringgit, and Philippine Peso (among other East Asian currencies) plunged against the Dollar. Their central banks attempted to defend the pegs but they failed.
  5. Second, companies will need Dollars for trade- as the USD makes up over 60% of global trade volume, and has the deepest and most liquid forex market by far, even small firms that need to transact cross border trade will have to acquire USDs in order to operate. When South Africa and Chile trade, they don’t want to use Mexican Pesos or Korean Won- they want Dollars.
  6. Foreign governments need dollars. There are several countries already who have adopted the Dollar as a replacement for their own currency- Ecuador and Zimbabwe being prime examples. There’s a full list here.
  7. Third world governments that don’t fully adopt dollars as their own currencies will still use them to borrow. Argentina has 70% of it’s debt denominated in dollars and Indonesia has 30%, for example. Dollar-denominated debt will build up overseas.
The example I gave in Part 1.5 was that of Liberia, a small West African Nation looking to enter global trade. Needing to hold dollars as part of their exchange reserves, the Liberian Central Bank begins buying USDs on the open market. The process works in a similar fashion for large Liberian export companies.

Dollar Recycling

Essentially, they print their own currency to buy Dollars. Wanting to earn interest on this massive cash hoard when it isn’t being used, they buy Treasuries and other US debt securities to get a yield.
As their domestic economy grows, their need and dependence on the Dollar grows as well. Their Central Bank builds up larger and larger hoards of Treasuries and Dollars. The entire thesis is that during times of crisis, they can sell the Treasuries for USD, and use the USDs to buy back their own currency on the market- supporting its value and therefore defending the peg.
This buying pressure on USDs and Treasuries confers a massive benefit to the United States-

The Exorbitant Privilege

This buildup of excess dollars ends up circulating overseas in banks, trade brokers, central banks, governments and companies. These overseas dollars are called the Eurodollar system- a 2016 research paper estimated the size to be around $13.8 Trillion USD. This system is not under official Federal Reserve jurisdiction so it is difficult to get accurate numbers on its size.

This means the Dollar is always artificially stronger than it should be- and during financial calamity, the dollar is a safe haven as there are guaranteed bidders.
All this dollar denominated debt paired with the global need for dollars in trade creates strong and persistent dollar demand. Demand that MUST be satisfied.
This creates systemic risk on a worldwide scale- an unforeseen Sword of Damocles that hangs above the global financial system. I’ve been trying to foreshadow this in my Dollar Endgame Series.
Triffin’s Dilemma is the basis for the Dollar Milkshake Theory posited by Brent Johnson.

The Dollar Milkshake

Milkshake of Liquidity
In 2021, Brent worked with RealVision to create a short summary of his thesis- the video can be found here. I should note that Brent has had this theory for years, dating back to 2018, when he first came on podcasts and interviews and laid out his theory (like this video, for example).
Here’s the summary below:
“A giant milkshake of liquidity has been created by global central banks with the dollar as its key ingredient - but if the dollar moves higher this milkshake will be sucked into the US creating a vicious spiral that could quickly destabilize financial markets.
The US dollar is the bedrock of the world's financial system. It greases the wheels of global commerce and exchange- the availability of dollars, cost of dollars, and the level of the dollar itself each can have an outsized impact on economies and investment opportunities.
But more important than the absolute level or availability of dollars is the rate of change in the level of the dollar. If the level of the dollar moves too quickly and particularly if the level rises too fast then problems start popping up all over the place (foreign countries begin defaulting).
Today however many people are convinced that both the role of the Dollar is diminishing and the level of the dollar will only decline. People think that the US is printing so many dollars that the world will be awash with the greenback causing the value of the dollar to fall.
Now it's true that the US is printing a lot of dollars – but other countries are also printing their own currencies in similar amounts so in theory it should even out in terms of value.
But the hidden issue is the difference in demand. Remember the global financial system is built on the US dollar which means even if they don't want them everybody still needs them and if you need something you don't really have much choice. (See DXY Index):

DXY Index

Although many countries like China are trying to reduce their reliance on dollar transactions this will be a very slow transition. In the meantime the risks of a currency or sovereign debt crisis continue to rise.
But now countries like China and Japan need dollars to buy copper from Australia so the Chinese and the Japanese owe dollars and Australia is getting paid in dollars.
Europe and Asia currently doing very limited amount of non-dollar transactions for oil so they still need dollars to buy oil from saudi and again dollars get hoovered up on both sides
Asia and Europe need dollars to buy soybeans from Brazil. This pulls in yet more dollars - everybody needs dollars for trade invoices, central bank currency reserves and servicing massive cross-border dollar denominated debts of governments and corporations outside the USA.
And the dollar-denominated debt is key- if they don't service their debts or walk away from their dollar debts their funding costs rise putting great financial pressure on their domestic economies. Not only that, it can lead to a credit contraction and a rapid tightening of dollar supply.
The US is happy with the reliance on the greenback they own the settlement system which benefits the US banks who process all the dollars and act as gatekeepers to the Dollar system they police and control the access to the system which benefits the US military machine where defense spending is in excess of any other country so naturally the US benefits from the massive volumes of dollar usage.

Other countries have naturally been grumbling about being held hostage to the situation but the choices are limited. What it does mean is that dollars need to be constantly sucked out of the USA because other countries all over the world need them to do business and of course the more people there are who need and want those dollars the more is the pressure on the price of dollars to go up.
In fact, global demand is so high that the supply of dollars is just not enough to keep up, even with the US continually printing money. This is why we haven't seen consistently rising US inflation despite so many QE and stimulus programs since the global financial crisis in 2008.
But, the real risk comes when other economies start to slow down or when the US starts to grow relative to the other economies. If there is relatively less economic activity elsewhere in the world then there are fewer dollars in global circulation for others to use in their daily business and of course if there are fewer in circulation then the price goes up as people chase that dwindling source of dollars.
Which is terrible for countries that are slowing down because just when they are suffering economically they still need to pay for many goods in dollars and they still need to service their debts which of course are often in dollars too.

So the vortex begins or as we like to say the dollar milkshake- As the level of the dollar rises the rest of the world needs to print more and more of its own currency to then convert to dollars to pay for goods and to service its dollar debt this means the dollar just keeps on rising in response many countries will be forced to devalue their own currencies so of course the dollar rises again and this puts a huge strain on the global system.
(see the charts below:)



To make matters worse in this environment the US looks like an attractive safe haven so the US ends up sucking in the capital from the rest of the world-the dollar rises again. Pretty soon you have a full-scale sovereign bond and currency crisis.

We're now into that final napalm run that sees the dollar and dollar assets accelerate even higher and this completely undermines global markets. Central banks try to prevent disorderly moves, but the global markets are bigger and the momentum unstoppable once it takes hold.
And that is the risk that very few people see coming but that everyone should have a hedge against - when the US sucks up the dollar milkshake, bad things are going to happen.
Worst of all there's no alternatives- what are you going to use-- Chinese Yuan? Japanese Yen? the Euro??
Now, like it or not we're stuck with a dollar underpinning the global financial system.”
Why is it playing out now, in real time?? It all leads back to a tweet I made in a thread on September 16th.

Tweet Thread about the Yuan

The Fed, rushing to avoid a financial crisis in March 2020, printed trillions. This spurred inflation, which they then swore to fight. Thus they began hiking interest rates on March 16th, and began Quantitative Tightening this summer.
QE had stopped- No new dollars were flowing out into a system which has a constant demand for them. Worse yet, they were hiking completely blind-
Although the Fed is very far behind the curve, (meaning they are hiking far too late to really combat inflation)- other countries are even farther behind!
Japan has rates currently at 0.00- 0.25%, and the Eurozone is at 1.25%. These central banks have barely begun hiking, and some even swear to keep them at the zero-bound. By hiking domestic interest rates above foreign ones, the Fed is incentivizing what are called carry trades.
Since there is a spread between the Yen and the Dollar in terms of interest rates, it thus is profitable for traders to borrow in Yen (shorting it essentially) and buy Dollars, which can earn 2.25% interest. The spread would be around 2%.
DXY rises, and the Yen falls, in a vicious feedback loop.
Thus capital flows out of Japan, and into the US. The US sucks up the Dollar Milkshake, draining global liquidity. As I’ve stated before, this has seriously dangerous implications for the global financial system.
For those of you who don’t believe this could be foreseen, check out the ending paragraphs of Dollar Endgame Part 4.3 - “Economic Warfare and the End of Bretton Woods” published February 16, 2022:

Triffin's Dilemma is the Final Nail

What I’ve been attempting to do in my work is restate Triffins’ Dilemma, and by extension the Dollar Milkshake, in other terms- to come at the issue from different angles.
Currently the Fed is not printing money. Which is thus causing havoc in global trade (seen in the currency markets) because not enough dollars are flowing out to satisfy demand.
The Fed must therefore restart QE unless it wants to spur a collapse on a global scale. Remember, all these foreign countries NEED to buy, borrow and trade in a currency that THEY CANNOT PRINT!
We do not have enough time here to go in depth on the Yen, Yuan, Pound or the Euro- all these currencies have different macro factors and trade factors which affect their currencies to a large degree. But the largest factor by FAR is Triffin’s Dilemma + the Dollar Milkshake, and their desperate need for dollars. That is why basically every fiat currency is collapsing versus the Dollar.
The Fed, knowingly or not, is basically in charge of the global financial system. They may shout, “We raise rates in the US to fight inflation, global consequences be damned!!” - But that’s a hell of a lot more difficult to follow when large G7 countries are in the early stages of a full blown currency crisis.
The most serious implication is that the Fed is responsible for supplying dollars to everyone. When they raise rates, they trigger a margin call on the entire world. They need to bail them out by supplying them with fresh dollars to stabilize their currencies.
In other words, the Fed has to run the loosest and most accommodative monetary policy worldwide- they must keep rates as low as possible, and print as much as possible, in order to keep the global financial system running. If they don’t do that, sovereigns begin to blow up, like Japan did last week and like England did on Wednesday.
And if the world’s financial system implodes, they must bail out not only the United States, but virtually every global central bank. This is the Sword of Damocles. The money needed for this would be well in the dozens of trillions.
The Dollar Endgame Approaches…


(Many of you have been messaging me with questions, rebuttals or comments. I’ll do my best to answer some of the more poignant ones here.)

Q: I’ve been reading your work, you keep saying the dollar is going to fall in value, and be inflated away. Now you’re switching sides and joining the dollar bull faction. Seems like you don’t know what you’re talking about!
A: You’re mixing up my statements. When I discuss the dollar losing value, I am referring to it falling in ABSOLUTE value, against goods and services produced in the real economy. This is what is called inflation. I made this call in 2021, and so far, it has proven right as inflation has accelerated.
The dollar gaining strength ONLY applies to foreign currency exchange markets (Forex)- remember, DXY, JPYUSD, and other currency pairs are RELATIVE indicators of value. Therefore, both JPY and USD can be falling in real terms (inflation) but if one is falling faster, then that one will lose value relative to the other. Also, Forex markets are correlated with, but not an exact match, for inflation.
I attempted to foreshadow the entire dollar bull thesis in the conclusion of Part 1 of the Dollar Endgame, posted well over a year ago-

Unraveling of the Currency Markets

I did not give an estimate on when this would happen, or how long DXY would be whipsawed upwards, because I truly do not know.
I do know that eventually the Fed will likely open up swap lines, flooding the Eurodollar market with fresh greenbacks and easing the dollar short squeeze. Then selling pressure will resume on the dollar. They would only likely do this when things get truly calamitous- and we are on our way towards getting there.
The US bond market is currently in dire straits, which matches the prediction of spiking interest rates. The 2yr Treasury is at 4.1%, it was at 3.9% just a few days ago. Only a matter of time until the selloff gets worse.
Q: Foreign Central banks can find a way out. They can just use their reserves to buy back their own currency.
Sure, they can try that. It’ll work for a while- but what happens once they run out of reserves, which basically always happens? I can’t think of a time in financial history that a country has been able to defend a currency peg against a sustained attack.

Global Forex Reserves

They’ll run out of bullets, like they always do, and basically the only option left will be to hike interest rates, to attract capital to flow back into their country. But how will they do that with global debt to GDP at 356%? If all these countries do that, they will cause a global depression on a scale never seen before.
Britain, for example, has a bit over $100B of reserves. That provides maybe a few months of cover in the Forex markets until they’re done.
Furthermore, you are ignoring another vicious feedback loop. When the foreign banks sell US Treasuries, this drives up yields in the US, which makes even more capital flow to the US! This weakens their currency even further.

FX Feedback Loop

To add insult to injury, this increases US Treasury borrowing costs, which means even if the Fed completely ignores the global economy imploding, the US will pay much more in interest. We will reach insolvency even faster than anyone believes.
The 2yr Treasury bond is above 4%- with $31T of debt, that means when we refinance we will pay $1.24 Trillion in interest alone. Who's going to buy that debt? The only entity with a balance sheet large enough to absorb that is the Fed. Restarting QE in 3...2…1…
Q: I live in England. With the Pound collapsing, what can I do? What will happen from here? How will the governments respond?
England, and Europe in general, is in serious trouble. You guys are currently facing a severe energy crisis stemming from Russia cutting off Nord Stream 1 in early September and now with Nord Stream 2 offline due to a mysterious leak, energy supplies will be even more tight.
Not to mention, you have a pretty high debt to GDP at 95%. Britain is a net importer, and is still running government deficits of £15.8 billion (recorded in Q1 2022). Basically, you guys are the United States without your own large scale energy and defense sector, and without Empire status and a World Reserve Currency that you once had.
The Pound will almost certainly continue falling against the Dollar. The Bank of England panicked on Wednesday in reaction to a $100M margin call on British pension funds, and now has begun buying long dated (10yr) gilts, or government bonds.
They’re doing this as inflation is spiking there even worse than the US, and the nation faces a currency crisis as the Pound is nearing parity with the Dollar.

BOE announces bond-buying scheme (9/28/22)

I will not sugarcoat it, things will get rough. You need to hold cash, make sure your job, business, or investments are secure (ie you have cashflow) and hunker down. Eliminate any unnecessary purchases. If you can, buy USDs as they will likely continue to rise and will hold value better than your own currency.
If Parliament goes through with more tax cuts, that will only make the fiscal situation worse and result in more borrowing, and thus more money printing in the end.
Q: What does this mean for Gamestop? For the domestic US economy?
Gamestop will continue to operate as I am sure they have been- investing in growth and expanding their Web3 platform.
Fiat is fundamentally broken. This much is clear- we need a new financial system not based on flawed 16th fractional banking principles or “trust me bro” financial intermediaries.
My hope is that they are at the forefront of a new financial system which does not require centralized authorities or custodians- one where you truly own your assets, and debasement is impossible.
I haven’t really written about GME extensively because it’s been covered so well by others, and I don’t feel I have that much to add.
As for the US economy, we are still in a deep recession, no matter what the politicians say- and it will get worse. But our economic troubles, at least in the short term (6 months) will not be as severe as the rest of the world due to the aforementioned Dollar Milkshake.
The debt crisis is still looming, midterms are approaching, and the government continues to deficit spend as if there’s no tomorrow.
As the global monetary system unravels, yields will spike, the deleveraging will get worse, and our dollar will get stronger. The fundamental factors continue to deteriorate.
I’ve covered the US enough so I'll leave it there.
Q: Did you know about the Dollar Milkshake Theory before recently? What did you think of it?
Of course I knew about it, I’ve been following Brent Johnson since he appeared on RealVision and Macrovoices. He laid out the entire theory in 2018 in a long form interview here. I listened to it maybe a couple times, and at the time I thought he was right- I just didn’t know how right he was.
Brent and I have followed each other and been chatting a little on Twitter- his handle is SantiagoAuFund, I highly recommend you give him a follow.

Twitter Chat

I’ve never met him in person, but from what I can see, his predictions are more accurate than almost anyone else in finance. Again, all credit to him- he truly understands the global monetary system on a fundamental level.
I believed him when he said the dollar would rally- but the speed and strength of the rally has surprised me. I’ve heard him predict DXY could go to 150, mirroring the massive DXY squeeze post the 1970s stagflation. He could very easily be right- and the absolute chaos this would mean for global trade and finance are unfathomable.

History of DXY

Q: The Pound and Euro are falling just because of the energy crisis there. That's it!
Why is the Yen falling then? How about the Yuan? Those countries are not currently undergoing an energy crisis. Let’s review the year to date performance of most fiat currencies vs the dollar:
Japanese Yen: -20.31%
Chinese Yuan: -10.79%
South African Rand: -10.95%
English Pound: -18.18%
Euro: -14.01%
Swiss Franc: -6.89%
South Korean Won: -16.73%
Indian Rupee: -8.60%
Turkish Lira: -27.95%
There are only a handful of currencies positive against the dollar, the most notable being the Russian Ruble and the Brazilian Real- two countries which have massive commodity resources and are strong exporters. In an inflationary environment, hard assets do best, so this is no surprise.
Q: What can the average person do to prepare? What are you doing?
Obligatory this is NOT financial advice
This is an extremely difficult question, as there are so many factors. You need to ask yourself, what is your financial situation like? How much disposable income do you have? What things could you cut back on? I can’t give you specific ideas without knowing your situation.
Personally, I am building up savings and cutting down on expenses. I’m getting ready for a severe recession/depression in the US and trying to find ways to increase my income, maybe a side hustle or switching jobs.
I am holding my GME and not selling- I still have some shares in Fidelity that I need to DRS (I know, sorry, I was procrastinating).
For the next few months, I believe there will be accelerating deflation as interest rates spike and the debt cycle begins to unwind. But like I’ve stated before, this will lead us towards a second Great Depression very rapidly, and to avoid the deflationary blizzard the Fed will restart QE on a scale never seen before.
QE Infinity. This will be the impetus for even worse inflation- 25%+ by this time next year.
It’s hard to prepare for this, and easy to feel hopeless. It’s important to know that we have been through monetary crises before, and society did not devolve into a zombie apocalypse. You are not alone, and we will get through this together.
It’s also important to note that we are holding the most lopsided investment opportunity of a generation. Any money you put in there can be grown by orders of magnitude.
We are at the end of the Central Bankers game- and although it will be painful, we will rid the world of them, I believe, and build a new financial system based on blockchains which will disintermediate the institutions. They have everything to lose.
Q: I want to learn more, where can I do? What can I do to keep up to date with everything?
You can start by reading books, listening to podcasts, and checking the news to stay abreast of developments. I have a book list linked at the end of the Dollar Endgame posts.
I’ll be covering the central bank clown show on Twitter, you can follow me there if you like. I’ll also include links to some of my favorite macro people below:
I’m still finishing up the finale for Dollar Endgame- I should have it out soon. I’m also writing an addendum to the series which is purely Q&A to answer questions and concerns. Sorry for the wait.
Nothing on this Post constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any security, portfolio of securities, investment product, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
submitted by peruvian_bull to Superstonk [link] [comments]

My trading journey & a student notes

An introduction

I'll start with a little introduction about myself. I am 22 years old, and I am currently living in Romania. My trading journey started at 19. So, here is me, 19 years old, deciding what path I want to take in life. At 18 years old, I decided I wanted to change the world. To make it a better place. After going through all the possible paths I decided upon business. Why business? Because in order to change the world, you need power. Money gives you power. What's the fastest way to make money? Starting a business.
So, I went to the best business school I could find in my country and there I started my university days. Three months in, I realised that I needed to learn and secure additional sources of income. That's what wealthy people do, right? And what's the most common source of income across wealthy people? The stock market of America.
So, there, I gathered 100 Euros, opened a brokerage account with a firm that had a plan of teaching people the stock market while managing their funds. Do note, 100 euros was a lot of freaking money for my age and country. I had a fund manager that used to call me every few days to talk, get a few lessons and get a stock recommandation.
Long story short, trades were good. What was not good is by the time the fund manager got on the phone with me the stock would turn around. What liqudated the account was an oil trade gone bad. I remember the last trade recommandation he did was Moderna, one month after the pandemic started. The focus of this account was nevertheless forex exchange.
Ouch. My first liqudated account. Fast forward, second semester of first year of business school. I get 300 more Euros. I decided again, that the most okay way to do this is to follow trading signals. After all, I can focus on my business studies and people that know what they are doing can make me money, right? Damn wrong.
I started following trading signals for Forex from a guy that I have been following for about 4 months. I liked what I saw. There I am with my 300 euros accounts aaaand I lost 100 euros of it again. A little bit of exagerated position sizes combined with bad trading signals lost me about 33% of my account.
Great, let actually do some research and see who is the best signal trading group that is free. Well, my research all leaded to one group. Started following them, the signals were profitable at first. But again, this is how this market screws with small & dumb money. It leads you in only to take it all away. Anyways, the signals were beggining to be more and more hit and miss. I got down to 70 euros, then started trading only their index signals, grew my account to 170 euros, then I started taking a swing trade in gold. Averaged down 8 times and got the account liqudated.
Ouch again. You know what, maybe this isn't for me. I am not in my second semester of the second year of business school. I went on an exchange program for one semester to Kozminski University in Poland. (top 50 business school in the world). Learnt a great deal there.
Great, I also have 2000 euros of scholarship money. I didn't use it because the cost of living was even lower than in my home country. So, my brother discovered some crypto guru on TikTok. He starts trading and he lets me know about it. I told him I am happy for him but I don't want to lose money again. What was the system? A DCA algo bot on coins you select. One and a half month passes and that algo bot is doubling his money every few days.
Now, just reading this, you can imagine what I got. He got a battle tested algo bot. Got a community that is making a great deal of money off of it. I got FOMO. After all, he tested it, it freaking works, and it prints money. I join him with my 2000 Euros. Stuff is great. I am sitting on 10k Euros after around two weeks. Well, what's the problem with averaging down that we all know? It works until it doesn't. Elon Musk made a tweet and Bitcoin fell a lot (iirc it was about him dumping his BTC stock). All the community got liqudated, myself and my brother included.
Things were looking grim. We lost a great deal of money we couldn't afford to lose. Things were sad and we looked for hope. The hope was him getting a bank loan. After strongly advising him not to get a bank loan, I theory crafted a system in which an event like this couldn't liqudate us. Well what my system wasn't taking into account is that my brother was playing with money he could not afford to lose and thus he wasn't making the decisions my system designed. BTC takes a dump again. Loses around 3k out of a 10k loan.
I decided I was out. This is not going to work. Our relation gets cold after that and he continues to trade crypto. He starts learning technical analysis. He is still doing this currently, so I guess it is working for him, whatever he is doing over there.
Anyway, my decision was to not touch trading ever again. I get into 3rd year of business school. I get a scholarship exchange to Norway for one semester and one semester to France, at EM Normandie Business School (a top 80 in the world business school). By the time I start my France exchange, I get into long-term investing. Read about all the great gains in 2021. Blast of a year, great.
Should be mentioned, I fought to get those scholarships at those prestigious business schools because if I ever wanted to compete with the richest people in the world, I would have to get access to the best knowledge there is about business. I would also have to learn at an obnoxious speed because those people have lived 2 to 3 of my lifetimes and had the chance to gather obscure amounts of knowledge in that timeframe. If I want to compete with them, I would have to get that knowledge in just a few years.
Back to trading. So, I start an investopedia trading simulator (for the lack of money I had). It's 3rd of January 2022. Apocalypse starts in the stock market. Oh wow. Thank god for the lack of money I had. Two months pass and things don't look that bad. I start learning about the stock market and invest in some safe ETF's (at least they should've been). QQQX, SPHD, VWCE (all world index).
Well great, they were doing fine. In my time in France, I had for a roommate, for what I was about to discover, the child of one of the most influential family in Taiwan. Turns out they were also great freaking investors & option traders. I learnt what I could understand from him. (so not much)
So, I reconfigured my portofolio plan. Now I know what I want to invest in. Amazing! I got my hands on 3000 Euros, that were for a different purpose that I will highlight further down. I wanted to get my toes wet and it was around 15 July. I invested 1000 euros in those stocks: MSFT, NVDA, AMD, NET, PLTR, PYPL, SNOW, SQ. Well god damn good picks. The summer rally made my portofolio be up 30%.
But, let rewind for a bit. As it is probably understood, I wanted to be an entrepreneur. Great business plan and everything. In line for 100.000 euros of funding. (This is June) In the meantime, I also discovered this place because one of the users linked it in the stocks subreddit. I read all the wiki, watched all the videos, and I really liked it.
Well, now for my downfall. It's the end of the last semester. The first punch was the funding. The funding was European Funds which were managed by an Agricultural School of Busines. Submmited my business plan, passed each step in the first place. Well, now they want the financial plan. I do it. Turns out, they did not want included the COGS. That automatically put my costs too high for the funding, even though, well, I don't have to explain COGS to you.
So, some really old guys that had no knowledge about business called me and told me in order for the competition to be fair they can't allow me to remove the COGS from the financial plan (which is not the standard format that you are all familiar with), and because I can't remove COGS I have to be disqualified.
That was an uppercut punch to my jaw. I lost the most secure and hassle-free funding for my business (electrical skateboards) that I could have ever gotten not because I was not good enough, but because of bureaucracy. The second punch came from the doubters that everyone has around them when thinking of starting a business. It's something natural that I did not mind until I took my biggest hit that I could not control. I started to doubt myself even though my record says I am solid.
Well, if I can't get funding, either I go for more hurtful sources of funding like Venture Capitalists and such, which is a difficult battle since no one is a fan of physical products anymore. Everyone likes digital businesses, for good reason. Better investment by far.
I started to look for a career, Tech Sales fitted my criteria for a chance to make fast big money. Great, so I will start a career in that direction. Well here comes the knock out punch. France refused to release my transcript of records because it's their policy to release it at the end of summer, no questions asked. Well, even though I was going to fail the year and not finish university because of it, even though they had the grade in the system (and they just refused to release an official document for it) they refused to do anything about it, even if my university asked them on a more serious tone.
So, I did not finish business school and I have to wait until next summer to sustain my thesis. Because I did not finish business school, I can't get a job abroad. A job in Romania is just out of the question because 300 Euros a month is just not something I am willing to work with.
I had 3000 Euros that my dad gave me to purchase the Market Research I needed for my business plan. As I mentioned above, I invested the first 1000 Euros in July. I have another 2000 Euros comming in the following months from different sources. That would add up to 5000 Euros. Enough to start this trading journey.
In the meantime, after recovering my spirit I decided I wanted to be a Twitch livestreamer because of my gaming talent. So, I was going to go full time into gaming and try to become a livestreamer. That lasted for about a month. I have realised my first goal of reaching the top of the ladder for the game I was going to livestream, but I realised I love gaming but I don't want to be an entertainer.
So, I arrived at trading. I came back to the community I discovered before summer. Which puts us in September. The last glimpse of hope I have for meeting my target wealth in time. (Which is 5 years from now).

My learning journey

I now dedicate 17 hours a day to this. My routine starts at 3PM, I wake up, read Oneoption chat from the day before read new RDT posts, and get ready for the market, which starts at 4:30PM. I trade until 11PM and after that I learn from 11PM to 7 AM. Rinse and repeat. I decided to document this, since I thought some of you mind find it interesting, inspiring, or anything in between.
16.09.2022 – Day 1
Started reading Market Wizards (60 page) (Mindset)
Started learning Canddle Sticks formations – Hammer & Inverted Hammer (Chart Analysis)
17.09.2022 – Day 2
Reading Market Wizards (98 Page) (Mindset)
Learning what Bidding & Asking is ; Supply & Demand ; Volume (Trading/Chart Analysis)
Going Long & Short (Stocks)
18.09.2022 – Day 3
Reading Market Wizards (154 Page) (Mindset)
Read about Options (Options)
19.09.2022 – Day 4
Reading Market Wizards (190 Page) (Mindset)
Setted up the trading platform a bit (Tools)
20.09.2022 – Day 5
Researched Charting tools (Tools)
Started a course on options (Options)
21.09.2022 – Day 6
Setted up my chart indicator (Tools)
Paper traded to test them (Practice)
Learned about buying and selling calls (Options)
22.09.2022 – Day 7
Explored more chart indicators & all the indicators posted in the sub (Tools)
Learned about buying and selling puts (Options)
Watched the market
Read the wiki some more, watched youtube some more, explored all the posts ever posted in general flair
23.09.2022 – Day 8
Learned about intrinsic and extrinsic value (Options)
Paper traded a bit (Practice)
Listened to Hari live stream and took some notes
24.09.2022 – Day 9
Paper traded a bit (Practice)
Researched indicators (Setup)
Learning about options (Options)
25.09.2022 – Day 10
Researched indicators (Setup)
Studied Options (Options)
26.09.2022 – Day 11
Studied Options (Options)
Paper traded stocks (Practice)
27.09.2022 – Day 12
Watched the market
Watched Hari livestream and took notes
Learning Options (Options)
28.09.2022 – Day 13
Learning Options (Options)
Watched the market
29.09.2022 – Day 14
Watched the market and actively participated – did some profitable trades (Practice)
30.09.2022 – Day 15
Listened to Hari Livestream – took some notes
Watched and kind of played the market
1.10.2022 – Day 16
Finished learning Options begginer course (Options)
2.10.2022 – Day 17
Learning Option Spreads – CDS / PDS / BB (Option Spreads)
3.10.2022 – Day 18
Paper traded (Practice)
Learning Option Spreads – Bracketed Butterflies (Option Spreads)
4.10.2022 – Day 19
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about my volume indicators: OBV and RV (Indicators)
5.10.2022 – Day 20
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about sector strength indicators and what they mean (Indicators)
6.10.2022 – Day 21
Paper traded (Practice)
Listened to Hari & Pete livestream and took notes
7.10.2022 – Day 22
Paper traded (Practice)
8.10.2022 – Day 23
Learned about VWAP, SMA, EMA, BB (Indicators)
9.10.2022 – Day 24
Learned about Volume Candles, Daily Ranges, ATR (Indicators)
10.10.2022 – Day 25
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about Divergences, True Strength Index, ATR (Indicators)
12.10.2022 – Day 26
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about Algo lines (Charting)
13.10.2022 – Day 27
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about Heikin-Ashi candles (Charting)
14.10.2022 – Day 28
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about TICK and VIX (Indexes)
15.10.2022 – Day 29
Paper traded (Practice)
Learned about UVXY (Indexes)
16.10.2022 – Day 30
Learned about Flag formation (Chart Patterns)
Learned about Doji, Hammer, Doji Sandwich (Canddlestick Patterns)

Student notes

One thing I found a challenge is that all the information is scattered. Sure, there is the wiki. But there is also Oneoption, Hari videos, posts that are not in the wiki, comments in older posts and older live chats, and information not present here. So, in order to facilitate my learning, I started grouping all the information I could find about each topic into my notes.
Those notes are only about the topics I have studied until now. They do not include any information from Hari or Pete videos, as I didn't get to document them yet. (With the exception of the Algo lines section).
They were designed with me in mind, thus no resources. You should all ignore the Options section and just go to Option Spreads onwards. I am sure the information contained in them will be useful to some of you.
I would also appreciate it if you got anything to add to the topics posted so far in it, if there is any knowledge you would want to share about a section. Here is the link

Paper trading progress

Week 1: 27 trades / 51% winrate / 0.60 P.F.
Week 2: 41 trades / 68% winrate / 3.6 P.F.
Week 3: 48 trades / 81% winrate / 0.84 P.F.
Kind of obvious what I need to work on. Position size, exits, etc. so I am not going to write novels about this section too. I am just happy my winrate is increasing.

Going foward

I plan to add up to my long term portofolio, which I currently invested about 25% of my 5.000 Euro in. This is because I want to gain from the relief rally I expect and the gains to be had by the time I finish learning. I also aknowledge the risk associated with this idea. It is needless, and I think I am only doing it to prove to myself that I can do fundamental analysis too and that I know how to analyse a business. If the risk turns against me, I will have to get a job for a few months to gather up the money needed to start trading, which will take an awfully long time.
I plan to finish writing and learning the theory that I have presented in the document, so I can finally move forward to analyse my trades in detail by journaling and doing walkaway analysis on them. I know the urgency of this part, yet I have to postpone it because I feel like I need to understand the whole theory before doing a solid analysis of the trades. I will need to work on my entries,exits, and most importantly, position size. This will be a continuing flaw in my trades for at least a month or two more.

One Major Discovery

There is one last thing. In my research of indicators I have come across a pattern you will find made by the indicators listed in my notes. Namely, my OBV indicator and True Strength indicator. I am using scripts that highlight divergences for me, so I can avoid being deceived by my own eyes. Well, I played with those two indicators and, although too early to be worth sharing with you guys, the results from the sample of trades I have soo far looked at are incredible.
First off, to my knowledge, Hari only uses TSI to look for crosses. And as you guys know, divergences are predictive indicators with the flaw of signaling false alarms.
Well, here is the thing. I have found out that on the daily chart, based on previous highlights of the indicator, it is right 9/10 times.
Heck, here is a chart of SPY with the indicator. The dots you see in the indicator are coded as follows: orange/red = bearish divergence
blue/green = bullish divergence
Well, I realise it is hard if not impossible to allign the indicator signal with the candle on the chart, so here is a picture with the most recent divergence.
There are a lot of things standing in my way before I can make a solid argument for them. Namely, I can't scan for the stocks that have divergences on. I have to go each day between them by hand and see if a divergence appears. Also, there is a lot more about a strategy than just signals that may be right at an obscene rate. For example, do you enter in the postmarket in the trade (something I cannot) or the start of the next trading day? Can you quantify the magnitude of the move? And so on.
One of the things that would be the most dissapointing, although the indicator gives the signal before the next candle on the 5M, I have not tested if it waits for a new candle before signaling the divergence, on the daily chart. I would highly assume it does as shown in historic data of it, but I have to verify it to confirm it, once a divergence appears.
Lastly, on the 5M I found OBV divergences to still be effective, but not effectie enough to take them for more than confirmation bias. However, again, combining TSI and OBV divergences I have found the signal to be 9/10 effective. (alleged number, just consider that I am having a hard time finding moves that are against the signals of those 2 indicators combined.
Here is the signal on SPY
Here is the signal on a stock, namely SQ
Again, as far as I know, it can't predict how long will the move last. But what I know is that next candle will respect the pattern.
I am open to discussion about what I found, and I apologise for writing about it if it's not appropiate. I realise there is not enough research I have done before even thinking of suggesting it to you guys. At the same time, I appreciate the fact that the sooner it is revelead to you, the more money might be generated or saved by you. So, because the results of the week were soo immaculate, I decided to write about it.
submitted by IreliaOnlyLOL to RealDayTrading [link] [comments]

TIL Princeton dropout and creator of the 5-hr Energy drink says he has $4 billion more than he needs; he plans to spend his fortune to distribute 10,000 free electric battery-equipped stationary bikes in India, which will run lights/basic appliances for 1day per 1 hr of pedaling.

TIL Princeton dropout and creator of the 5-hr Energy drink says he has $4 billion more than he needs; he plans to spend his fortune to distribute 10,000 free electric battery-equipped stationary bikes in India, which will run lights/basic appliances for 1day per 1 hr of pedaling. submitted by Miskatonica to todayilearned [link] [comments]

Question about daily duration of wearing night time aligners: you guys recommended that I extend my plan’s duration — I was wondering if I could achieve better results by wearing the night time aligners more than the 10-hr designated time per day...

Question about daily duration of wearing night time aligners: you guys recommended that I extend my plan’s duration — I was wondering if I could achieve better results by wearing the night time aligners more than the 10-hr designated time per day... submitted by Kind_Zookeepergame_4 to smiledirectclub [link] [comments]

Forex trading involves a lot of things to master and a lot of variables to monitor. You have to make the right trading plan, which is suitable for you. Here is a list of 10 tips that helps you to form an effective trading plan to succeed in the Forexmarket.

Forex trading involves a lot of things to master and a lot of variables to monitor. You have to make the right trading plan, which is suitable for you. Here is a list of 10 tips that helps you to form an effective trading plan to succeed in the Forexmarket. submitted by Wetalktrade to u/Wetalktrade [link] [comments]

Sask NDP Covid Recovery Plan Highlights: $15/hr minimum wage, 10 paid sick days, and creation of SaskPharm, a publicly owned drug manufacturing company.

submitted by leftwingmememachine to ndp [link] [comments]

#Forextrading involves a lot of things to master and a lot of variables to monitor. You have to make the right #tradingplan, which is suitable for you.Here is a list of 10 tips that helps you to form an effective trading plan to succeed in the Forex market.

#Forextrading involves a lot of things to master and a lot of variables to monitor. You have to make the right #tradingplan, which is suitable for you.Here is a list of 10 tips that helps you to form an effective trading plan to succeed in the Forex market. submitted by Wetalktrade to u/Wetalktrade [link] [comments]

How To Make a Forex Trading Plan | 10 Secret Tricks By TaniForex in Hindi and Urdu

How To Make a Forex Trading Plan | 10 Secret Tricks By TaniForex in Hindi and Urdu submitted by emadbably to OptionsInvestopedia [link] [comments]

Invest in the Next Generation!!!

Hey all,
In light of the recent court decisions, I'll be going to my HR department today to begin automatically direct-depositing into my son's 529 plan. If you don't know what a 529 plan is, it is a state-sponsored investment account that can be used to fund schooling. It will save you on taxes this year, and the revenue generated can be withdrawn tax-free for educational purposes. Most, if not all US states have some sort of program, see the links below.
If you have young children and can afford to put $50-$100 a month away (I know not everyone can), it will definitely help. $100/month for 18 years is $21,600, and that's not including investment growth. At 8% interest, there'll be a $44,000 education fund waiting for your child. Also, if you have a decent support group around you, don't be too proud to solicit contributions for Christmases and Birthdays. Wisconsin's program has a referral code where parents/grandparents/family can contribute as well, as I'm sure other programs do too.
If we want long-term fixes to these ongoing student-loan issues, one thing we can collectively do is decrease our reliance on this program. If you have any money to spare, I highly recommend investing in the next generation too.
submitted by stdubbs to StudentLoans [link] [comments]

Choose any course for just 20$

Message me via reddit or follow the link
1 2018 Client Getting Bot Blueprint
2 Adam Ackerman, John Galley - Crowdfunding Cash System
3 Adam Thomas - Dropshipping Accelerator 2018
4 Adrian Morrison – eCom Success Academy 2017
5 Adrian Morrison eCom Success Academy 2018
6 Alex Becker - H-Com 2020 (Updated)
7 Alex Fedotoff - 7 Figure Ecommerce Blueprint
8 Alex Schlinsky - Prospecting On Demand
9 Amiee Ball - Pay To Play
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21 Billy Willson - 6 Figure Facebook Ads Agency
22 Bradley Riley - Social Media Marketing Academy
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25 Dan Dasilva - 7 Figure Academy
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32 Donald Miller - The StoryBrand Marketing RoadMap
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80 Kevin David - Zon Ninja Masterclass 2019
81 Kevin David-Shopify Masterclass
82 Learn, Plan, Profit - Your A-Z Blueprint To Mastering
83 Marco Rodriguez - eCom PPC Academy
84 Matt Clark, Jason Katzenback – Amazing Selling Machine 9
85 Maxwell Finn – Facebook Ad IQ Academy (Updated)
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93 Relationship God - AdGil
94 Richard Telfeja - Ecom Profit Masterclass
95 Russell Brunson - Funnel Builder Secrets
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100 Sebastian Ghiorghiu - Shopify Drop Shipping
101 Sebastian Gomez - Ecom Profits Lab
102 Shopify Themes
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105 Tai Lopez - Bitcoin Crypto Academy (Updated)
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113 The Forex Scalper Mentorship Package
114 Tim Grittani - Ticket Trading
115 Tim Sanders - Private Label Masters
116 Tom Glover - The Facebook ROI Master-Class
117 Tomas Libas - Speed Reading Secrets Revealed
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120 Tristan Broughton – Google Ads eCom Academy
121 Udemy ~ Become the Excel Hero with Advanced Excel Tricks for Job by Sebastian Glöckner
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125 2 Girls Teach Sex
126 2 Girls Teach Sex - 2.0
127 60 Minute Stamina
128 Advanced Sex Techniques For Guaranteed Orgasms
129 Blow Her Mind The First Time
130 Extreme Female Orgasms
131 Forbidden Sex Secrets
132 Multiple Orgasm Methods
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135 Rear Entry Made Easy
136 Secrets of Squirting Orgasms
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138 Shawna's Porn Star Sex Secrets
139 Squirting Orgasm Mastery
140 Superman Stamina
141 Threesome Code
142 Jason Julius
143 Extreme Stamina
144 Female Orgasm Blueprint (2009)
145 #Social Skills
146 Alpha Man Conversation Persuasion
147 basic social Skills, body language and self help stuff
148 Humor
149 Power Social Skills
150 Pure Personality [Vice]
151 Ultimate Inner Game Modules
152 Texting
153 Micheal fiore texting
154 Online Dating And Texting
155 swipe text date pdf
156 Text Game Greg C
157 Text that girl...Race depriest
158 Texting on steriods
159 Texting related products
160 Adam Gilad - Relationship God
161 Alex - NRYNE
162 Alex - Social Encrypted
163 Books
164 RSD Library
165 Brad - Evolution
166 Brad - Lifestyle Academy
167 Charlie Houpert - Charisma University
168 David Tian
169 Deepak Wayne
170 Derek Rake
171 Engage by Evolutiondaily
172 Engage-EvolutionDaily
173 Glenn - Energy Awareness Training
174 Gordon Ramsay - Cooking
175 Hypnotica - Collection Of Confidence
176 Jason Capital
177 Jeffy - Execute The Program 2.0 (SD)
178 Julien - PIMP (SD)
179 Julien - Shift
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181 Julien - Transformation Mastery
182 Julien - Transformation Mastery (Full HD)
183 Leo Gura - Ultimate Life Purpose Course
184 LifePurpose
185 Luke - Social Circle Blueprint
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187 Madison - BOSS
188 Mark Manson
189 Marshall Meditation Method
190 Max - The Natural
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192 Mystery
193 The Mystery Method - Revelation 8 DVD & 13 Audio CD
194 other game
195 Papa - RSD Founder's Club
196 PickupDance
197 Resonator
198 RSDMax - Girlfriend Game
199 1. Inner Game Debunking Myths
200 2. How To Get a GF
201 3. Monogamy and Polygamy
202 4. Problems In Your Relationship
203 5. Advanced Girlfriend Game
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205 Shae Matthews - Sensual Massage Mastery
206 Social Supremacy Blueprint
207 StealthSeduct
208 Todd - Daygame
209 Todd - Text & Dates Machine
210 Todd - Valentine University 2.0
211 Todd - Women
212 Transformation Mastery Academy
213 Transformations
214 Tyler - Foundations
215 Tyler - Hot Seat at Home (SD)
216 Tyler - The Blueprint Decoded
219 Mastering Your Hidden Self.pdf
220 The Art Of Seduction.pdf
221 The Red Queen.pdf
222 The Red Queen.pdf
submitted by Huge-Classroom5123 to u/Huge-Classroom5123 [link] [comments]

What You Should Do (Right Now) Before MOASS

What You Should Do (Right Now) Before MOASS
I made the "What You Should Do After MOASS" DD about a year and a half ago, and I feel like the more important DD at the moment should've been about what Apes should be doing before MOASS happens. MOASS will only happen once, so it's important we get this done right while SHFs are currently fighting for their lives, not after the dust settles.
Recommended Requisite DD:
  1. What You Should Do After MOASS
  2. DRS & Chill
What You Should Do (Right Now) Before MOASS
§1: Evaluate Your Opportunity Cost
§2: Take Advantage of the Resources at Your Disposal
§3: Focus on Your Mental Health
§1: Evaluate Your Opportunity Cost
Well start with the definition of "opportunity cost".
From Investopedia:
What Is Opportunity Cost?
Opportunity costs represent the potential benefits that an individual, investor, or business misses out on when choosing one alternative over another. Because opportunity costs are unseen by definition, they can be easily overlooked. Understanding the potential missed opportunities when a business or individual chooses one investment over another allows for better decision making.
To simplify, here's an example:
You have $10, you can choose between buying a sandwich right now, or use it for gas money.
Your opportunity cost for using it as gas money is that you wouldn't be able to buy a sandwich, and vice versa.
This can be attributed to GME.
If you are thinking of going out for dinner and plan on spending $50+, your opportunity cost would be missing out of 2 GME shares. Now, imagine you go out for dinner once a week; you'd be forfeiting 104 GME shares annually. That's your opportunity cost, and it's a big deal when you put it that way. Not just that but I'm sure with the price of gas, to drive back and forth to get the dinner would also end up being another 25 GME shares annually, depending on the circumstances.
So, you have to take these opportunity costs into account, because the goal should be saving as much as (reasonably) possible before MOASS.
Due note that there should obviously be a balance. Don't forfeit everything one way or another. You should still maintain a solid quality of life, while saving up GME shares as the same time.
Nevertheless, everything you do has a cause and effect.
If you are addicted to eating fast-food, quantify the costs of sustaining your glutenous habits versus how many GME shares you could've gotten instead. Same goes with consumeristic expenditures as well as alcohol/smoking addictions.
Ask yourself, "how many millions of dollars am I losing post-MOASS by wasting my money on 'x', instead of saving up to buy GME shares directly from Computershare?"
Take lessons from Laszlo Hanyecz, who sold 10,000 Bitcoins in return for 2 pizzas in 2010.
Had Laszlo even just analyzed his opportunity cost, or ran a cost-benefit analysis, he could've ended up saving his Bitcoin instead of spending it. And had he preserved it for at least 7 years, he would've easily been able to cash out at well over $100,000,000. But, unfortunately, not everyone runs those cost-benefit analyses, and they end up regretting them.
I'm sure post-MOASS, there will be articles of paper hands saying they would've had $100 million had they not sold their GME to buy a car before MOASS, or something like that. And, as sad as it is, there's nothing much you can do for them, because as the old proverb goes, "you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink." It's up to each and every one of you to make decisions on behalf of yourself and your family's future. You have to be the one to ascertain the optimal financial decision, depending on your individual circumstance. You have to be the one willing to make sacrifices for the long-term, and that includes (at least partially) withdrawing from short-term dopamine pleasures.
§2: Take Advantage of the Resources at Your Disposal
I've gotten a lot of DMs from Apes saying things like that they wish MOASS would happen soon because they don't currently have a job or can't afford to get anymore shares.
Listen, there's always ways out there to stack up shares. Again, must I repeat, MOASS is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. I've already explained in my DD DRS & Chill how this will never happen again post-MOASS. Do not take this for granted. Wherever you live, whatever your circumstances, there are always opportunities to stack up shares. If you want to add more to your DRS pile, but don't have a job or the money, don't just stay stagnant. Take initiative and take advantage of your resources.
You don't even need a degree to work.
As a matter of fact, here's a list of 10 jobs you could pursue right now to start stacking up on GME shares till MOASS:
  • Caregiver (companies will pay for your licensing program)
  • Landscaper
  • Electrician
  • Delivery driver
  • Security Guard
  • Carpenter
  • Truck driver (companies will pay for your licensing program)
  • Wholesale packager
  • Mechanic
  • Restaurant cook
This is in addition to jobs, such as custodial maintenance or retailer jobs. On top of that, how many countless other ways to hustle are there? Fiverr jobs, Airbnb, donating plasma, drop shipping, UbeLyft, tons of ways to make passive income.
If you're struggling mentally/physically, or suffering from some extraneous circumstance, take advantage of your state/federal government programs. For the U.S, you can take advantage of unemployment benefits/disability benefits. From all these different programs, you can receive passive income, and maybe you can take some concurrent cash gigs while you're at it, if possible.
On top of all that, there's even more programs and opportunities for you to rack up money for registered GME shares.
For instance, there are countless clinical research studies where you come in, do some tests (the tests vary), and they pay you with fat stacks. For example, here they're offering $20,000 if you partake in one study (this study is even full, because it's easy cash)
On top of that, there's always a variety of jobs on places like Craigslist that pay in cash for all types of services, from mowing lawns to painting houses. Like, there is legitimately no reason why you should be saying that you can't make money and that you can't continue to stack up some registered GME shares. There shouldn't need to be posts saying "I lost my job, and now I need to sell GME shares because I don't have money" (even though I'm sure many are shill posts).
Now, why am I sharing all this information on all these various ways/opportunities Apes can make money in their lives? Because I legit care about my Ape brothers and sisters, and I want you to know that there are always opportunities out there to help you continue to add to the DRS pile before MOASS. Don't take all the opportunities around you for granted, because then you just might be taking MOASS for granted.
And if you're stuck in the unfortunate circumstance where you're overburdened with debt and/or rent, and feel that you might get hit with a lien and lose your shares, you can look into transferring your registered GME shares to a trusted family member's name instead, and just file Chapter 7 (or Chapter 11) bankruptcy to wipe out the debt, and they can't steal your shares that way. I'm just saying I'd rather do that shit than give up my shares if I was in that situation. Because, otherwise, I'd be regretting it every day post-MOASS.
§3: Focus on Your Mental Health
According to a survey from the Money and Mental Health Policy Institute, 72% of people with mental health problems said that their mental health problems have made their financial situation worse. Furthermore, 46% of people in problem debt also have a mental health problem.
It's no surprise there's a direct link between mental health and financial stability. People struggling through mental health problems are more likely to make impulsive financial decisions or overspend to induce dopamine release. They may also lack motivation to manage their finances.
This is why it is imperative that you ensure you're in a healthy mental state when you receive your MOASS money. If you are not in a good mental state right now, you are not ready for MOASS. What I mean by that, is that you need to be in good sound body and mind. MOASS won't fix your depression, it won't fix your substance abuse problems—you need to fix that. Stay active, go out, feel free to talk to people about your problems to get support and help. Don't stay isolated, living in your head all day long, that'll just slowly drive you crazy.
I'm saying these things to help you. If you are not in a good mental state right now, and MOASS comes, you might not be thinking rationally. And if you're not thinking rationally, you can make poor decisions with your MOASS money that will bring you back to square one, such as gambling the MOASS money away on options and in casinos. You might not be in the right mind, and spend millions every day until you find yourself $15,000,000 in debt with a visit from the IRS. You might allow yourself to be taken advantage of like the lotto winner example from my DD What You Should Do After MOASS. Again, MOASS only happens once, so if you mess up because of your lapse in judgement, you cannot redo MOASS to get everything back.
I'm telling you right now, if you are not in a good mental state before MOASS, you can easily lose the MOASS gains by poor decisions, whether it be dumb financial decisions, or getting scammed/taken advantage of by others, or simply a combination of the two. 70% of lotto winners go broke within a few years. If I randomly pick out 10 Apes right now, statistically speaking, 7 of them will lose their MOASS money within a few years. I don't want to see that happen. You might think "oh, but that can never be me", and it's that lack of humility that could very well be your downfall. It can very well be you, and that's exactly why you need to be extra careful and extra focused on maintaining a sound, rational mind for when MOASS comes. I know what that type of money can do to you. When I became a millionaire last year, I felt invincible, like I could do anything. Pair that moral hazard with a serious mental health problem, and you can easily lose that MOASS money.
That being said, one of the most important things Apes can do is focus on their mental health in preparation for MOASS gains; the longevity of your future, post-MOASS, is dependent on it.
It doesn't matter how long it takes until MOASS, whether it happens now or 2 years from now. I think the 2 main factors that will contribute to MOASS happening are (1) DRS and (2) the market crash. Those two are the biggest one's. In the meantime, if you'd like, you're more than welcome to follow the guidelines I set out in this DD to help prepare yourself before MOASS. We have time, and that's a good thing. The longer this takes, the stronger your position, and more prepared you can be.
MOASS is inevitable. It will happen, regardless of whether or not you choose to prepare yourself for MOASS. The pressure is too great, and the DRS movement is unstoppable at this point. Millions of Apes with billions of dollars backing registered GME shares. Every purple circle that gets posted in this sub is a testament to the strength of the DRS train, and a further pain in the ass for SHFs.
submitted by -einfachman- to Superstonk [link] [comments]

Reserve Bank of India has released a list of 34 forex brokers; which has been declared illegal

List of unauthorized forex trading apps and websites - RBI

Friends, recently the Reserve Bank of India has released a list of 34 forex brokers; which has been declared illegal.
Before releasing this list, RBI had done all checks regarding all transactions of all those forex brokers since February this year. Maybe this doesn't matter to you; Nevertheless, you should definitely check this list once.
So see if your forex broker is not on this list!
👉 Here's a full list of unauthorized forex trading apps and websites
  1. Alpari
  2. AnyFX
  3. Ava Trade
  4. Binomo
  5. e Toro
  6. Exness
  7. Expert Option
  8. FBS
  9. FinFxPro
  11. Forex4money
  12. Foxorex
  13. FTMO
  14. FVP Trade
  15. FXPrimus
  16. FXStreet
  17. FXCm
  18. FxNice
  19. FXTM
  20. HotFores
  21. ibell Markets
  22. IC Markets
  23. iFOREX
  24. IG Markets
  25. IQ Option
  26. NTS Forex Trading
  27. Octa FX
  28. Olymp Trade
  29. TD Ameritrade
  30. TP Global FX
  31. Trade Sight FX
  32. Urban Forex
  33. Xm
  34. XTB
Thanks for Reading.
Please share your take on this.
submitted by PersonalFinanceSkill to IndianStockMarket [link] [comments]

APE Price action - What I believe is actually going on

APE Price action - What I believe is actually going on
I want to discuss what is happening with APE and why it is showing a constant steady decline over time.
I believe that the price action is following a pattern called an exponential decay curve. This curve is defined by:
I overlayed a hand sketched exponential decay curve over the daily chart and we get something like this
Note: A curve like this would require over 100% of the daily volume to be sold as naked shorts, so there is likely some degree of Citi Bank selling shares for $$, which is helping to dilute the float at an accelerated rate.

Here is another chart showing how naked shorts affect the price.
Where are all these naked shorts coming from?
Stock locates. Every single day, 10,000,000 shares appear available to short, then magically get completely lent out by 9am est. It is important to note that 10,000,000 is the maximum number of shares that can be shown. The true number is likely much higher than 10 million.
And here's an image from a couple months ago, which shows that it happens every single day.
This is likely done through a loophole called a one-day lend
Here is a video outlining the process told by the CEO of Overstock in greater detail than I ever could:

We can also see that there is almost no correlation with APE and any other tickers. Here is the chart against SPY for today. Even during the massive market pump, APE continued to fall in price.
The reason for this is that APE is not tied into ETF baskets, has no options, and is generally disconnected from all other market moving factors. It is in its own unique basket which is "naked short this ticker as aggressively as possible". The idea behind this really twofold.
1) AMC is using APE to pay back debt. Short sellers cannot allow that to happen. If APE is too low to pay off their debt, they still can spew their bear case.
2) APE itself is dilutive. As AA (or Citi Bank) sells APE shares for $$$, the price will drop and naked shorting it as much as possible guarantees profits when he does sell more shares, plus it forces him to sell an even greater number of shares to make the same amount of money. This is also known as a death spiral

As for today's after hours price action, there were 7.5 million shares traded after hours at exactly 1 dollar. In my mind, this could be one of two things.
1) MMs held retail buy orders for 1$ (which were likely in the millions since it is such a key price), or
2) Citi Bank sold 7.5 million APE shares at 1$, diluting the price by 7.5 million shares.

I am eagerly waiting to see if AA addresses this and what his course of action will be.
I made a post a couple months ago theorizing that APE will have a 1 BILLION + trade volume over the course of 1-2 days by Christmas time, and I still believe that to be true. All these naked shorts need to get their FTDs reset, and that typically happens through share buy-ins, where the shorted shares are purchased then very quickly sold back onto the market. This leads to incredible daily volume spikes as well as some very interesting price action. At the very least, it will give us a small window into what the true naked short interest looks like.

Tell me what you think is going on, or if any of my theories don't hold water.
There isn't a speculation flair, so I just marked this as discussion.

TL;DR - APE being diluted as quickly as the short sellers can possible dilute it in order to achieve a death spiral effect on the price and AMC's debt reduction plan.
submitted by TheUltimator5 to amcstock [link] [comments]

To My Brother and Sister Preppers - Buckle Up 2023 Will Be a Bumpy Ride Economically

Look at household debt - doubled since 2004 -
63% living paycheck to paycheck
This all means it will get bad during a recession.
I've been looking for a house and I noticed two things 1. many are empty, meaning the people are paying two mortgages. 2, prices are coming down.
Looking for a house - wait Looking for a used/new care - wait
Where to put your money for interest - 3.85% sound good to you?
Please get an emergency fund set up. There are two metrics to establish it: 1. How long it will take to get a job if you are laid off: Plan to be out of work for 1 month for every 10K of your income. If you earn 100K then have 10 months of savings. Some say you should think 1.5 months/10K of earnings.
  1. Monthly savings = all your expenses
submitted by maryupallnight to preppers [link] [comments]

The Hedgie's Dilemma: why Hedge Funds have not - but inevitably will - close their short positions in GME

It has been almost two years since the initial sneeze, and it has been proven time and time again that the short sellers never actually closed their positions. I've lurked in the various GME subs since January 2021 (I eventually ended up here in Superstonk), and I kept thinking that there was some example what the SHFs' game plan is - today I realized what it is. I present to you the game theory of The Prisoner's Dilemma, and how it relates to GME.

To Begin - what is Game Theory?

According to this wikipedia article on the matter, game theory is "the study of mathematical models of strategic interactions among rational agents." Put more simply, game theory is the examination of what a rational person would do in certain situations based on what the best choice is for them logically. It's important to remember that a key component is that "one player's payoff is contingent on the strategy implemented by the other player." Game Theory is actually frequently used in economic models, such as mergers and acquisitions and experimental economics.

The Prisoner's Dilemma

The prisoner's dilemma is a game theory scenario which involves two members of a criminal gang, A and B. Both of them have been arrested and both are kept separate from each other, unable to communicate. The gang members (known henceforth as "prisoners") also act purely in their own self interest and do not care for the result of the other party. There are also two police officers - one speaks with A and one with B. Each of the officers state that there isn't enough evidence to convict the other on the principal charge, but they plan to sentence the prisoners to a much shorter amount of time with a lesser charge. These prisoners are then offered a choice to snitch on the other or to not, with the following results:
- If neither snitch, they will both serve 2 years on the lesser charge
- If prisoner A snitches but B does not, A will be set free and B will serve 10 years. The same applies vice versa
- If both snitch, they will each serve five years in prison.
Here's a chart which portrays the results for each party:
A/B B stays silent B betrays
A stays silent -2/-2 -10/0
A betrays 0/-10 -5/-5

If A stays silent, they either get two years in prison or ten. If B then decided to stay silent, the cumulative amount of prison time would be the least of all scenarios - yet we also must remember that neither prisoner cares for the result of the other, so A would fear that B would decide to betray A, which would result in B getting let off without time and A getting an entire decade in prison. Thus, A would betray B, as the options are mathematically optimal for them - they get either 0 or 5 years in prison rather than 2 or 10.
However, these exact same thoughts are also running through the head of prisoner B - leading B to also choose to betray A, resulting in each getting locked up for five years. Ironically enough, choosing the mathematically optimal route ultimately did not lead to the option which provided the least prison time.

The Assumption

Before we continue, I believe it's important to make clear an assumption I'll be working upon.
- Closing out of a large short position will increase the price of the stock by a large amount. In an ideal market this would always be true, but we're not in an ideal market ¯\\\_(ツ)_/¯
- This price increase will lead to margin calls for other hedge funds.
- Hedge funds having their short positions closed due to margin calls, combined with FOMO due to price increases, will lead to MOASS.
- MOASS will lead to the destruction of all short hedge funds

How the Prisoner's Dilemma applies to GME naked short sellers

While theoretical situations are useful for understanding concepts, there are nearly always discrepancies. That being said, I still find the Prisoner's Dilemma a good tool for abstracting the philosophy behind a hedge fund's decisions - this logic that a hedge fund utilizes will henceforth be known as "The Hedgie's Dilemma" to keep things simpler. First, let's assess how the Hedgie's Dilemma and Prisoner's Dilemma relate:
- The prisoners are analogous with hedge funds
- The prisoners/hedge funds only care about their own survival, and are perfectly fine with the others going bankrupt as long as it doesn't affect them negatively
- A prisoner betraying the other party is analogous with a hedge fund closing their short position
- A prisoner staying silent is analogous with a hedge fund refusing to close their short position
- The "lesser charge" the prisoners receive when all parties stay silent is equivalent to hedge funds slowly losing money due to doubling down on short positions to suppress the price, as well as interest on the shorted stock
- If one party betrays and the other does not, the one that did not betray ends up in the worst situation possible. If one hedge fund closes their shorts, the other will be destroyed due to the assumption (stated above)

How the Prisoner's Dilemma and the Hedgie's Dilemma are different

There are some discrepancies which put the Prisoner's Dilemma and the Hedgie's Dilemma in contrast with each other. These include the following:
- There are more than two parties short GME, which increases the probability of at least one party deciding to close their large short position.
- All parties are able to communicate with the others in the Hedgie's Dilemma. While this is not technically supposed to occur and should be classified as market manipulation, it almost certainly happens anyway ¯\\\_(ツ)_/¯
- The collapse of other hedge funds may be detrimental to a hedge fund. According to the Finkle is Einhorn DD, almost all hedge funds have stakes in each other - meaning that an annihilation of one will almost certainly spread to others, which can spread to others, etc.
- Only one hedge fund can close their short position first. Operating under the assumption that only the first big player or two to close will make it out alive, there is essentially NO FOURTH OPTION in which all the hedge funds simultaneously betray each other.

The Chart for the Hedgie's Dilemma

We'll look at the logic from Citadel's perspective here, although the same logic could be applied for other short hedge funds. OLGMESHF stands for "other large GME short hedge funds" and represents what/how these shorts are doing in this scenario.
Citadel/OLGMESHFs All OLGMESHFs keep their GME short positions open One of the OLGMESHFs closes their GME short position
Citadel keeps their GME short positions open All parties slowly get eaten alive by paying interest on their shorts Citadel gets obliterated during MOASS, causing a chain reaction which destroys the OLGMESHF (see Finkle is Einhorn)
Citadel closes their GME short positions OLGMESHFs get obliterated during MOASS, causing a chain reaction which destroys Citadel (see Finkle is Einhorn) N/A - only a few can close their positions before MOASS (due to the assumption listed above)

Yikes. Things aren't looking too great for the hedge funds - their only option is to keep their positions open, lest they are destroyed. It looks like we'll just have to wait centuries for one of these hedge funds to run out of money to short the stock. ¯\\\_(ツ)_/¯

Direct Registration

How could we forget? If Direct Registration were to lead to MOASS (excellent explanation provided by u/sirron811 in this post) then we end up with a chart which looks like this:
Citadel/OLGMESHFs All OLGMESHFs keep their GME short positions open One of the OLGMESHFs closes their GME short position
Citadel keeps their GME short positions open All parties slowly get eaten alive by paying interest on their shorts and DIRECT REGISTRATION CAUSES SHORTS TO CLOSE Citadel and other OLGMES gets obliterated during MOASS, causing a chain reaction which destroys the initiating OLGMESHF (see Finkle is Einhorn)
Citadel closes their GME short positions OLGMESHFs get obliterated during MOASS, causing a chain reaction which destroys Citadel (see Finkle is Einhorn) N/A - only a few can close their positions before MOASS (due to the assumption listed above)

And just like that, SHFs are completely fucked. Of course, no hedge fund would want to close their positions early, as that would lead to MOASS sooner; the most they can do is try to convince us to stop buying, HODLing, and DRSing - I don't know about you all, but I don't plan stopping ;). In fact, simplified to this form it doesn't look like a dilemma at all; for a short hedge fund, all it looks like is imminent doom.

And before you go, have a little tinfoil... [everything in this next section is pure speculation]

There are a few players in the market who are not involved in the Finkle is Einhorn maze - these are some of the only parties that would ever consider closing their short positions. Someone who isn't a hedge fund, and thus cannot be invested in by a hedge fund - and thus is not part of the Finkle is Einhorn maze. Maybe someone who would find it worth it to close their short position, as they shorted near the peak... to them, a Prisoner's Dilemma chart would look like this:

short non-hedge funds (SNHF)/OLGMESHFs All OLGMESHFs keep their GME short positions open One of the OLGMESHFs closes their GME short position
All SNHF keeps their GME short positions open All parties slowly get eaten alive by paying interest on their shorts and DIRECT REGISTRATION CAUSES SHORTS TO CLOSE SNHF and other OLGMESHFs gets obliterated during MOASS, causing a chain reaction which destroys the initiating OLGMESHF (see Finkle is Einhorn)
One SNHF closes their GME short positions OLGMESHFs get obliterated during MOASS but SNHF lives to short another stock N/A - only a few can close their positions before MOASS (due to the assumption listed above)

To these few, powerful, non-hedge fund shorts, the best course of action is actually... closing their short positions in GME.
Which begs the question... who could this SNHF be?

Edit: some people have brought up that the prisoner’s dilemma is not a new concept for GME. I realize now that this is true, but regardless I think an updated version which includes the effects of DRS is useful for putting a hedge fund’s logic in a more understandable way.
submitted by IndoorCat_14 to Superstonk [link] [comments]

Forex.Today: – Forex Trade Planning – FRiday 10 July 2020

Forex.Today: – Forex Trade Planning – FRiday 10 July 2020 submitted by emadbably to OptionsInvestopedia [link] [comments]

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