Stop-loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Metatrader 4 Forex ...

Hi guys, I have recently been trying to get started in Forex and have set up an Interactive Brokers account. I'm based in Australia and it seemed like a good option.
I'm running into some difficulties on the demo account:
If I want to short AUD.USD, it says I have insufficient AUD in my account (my cash position is in USD).
I had a similar problem when trying to close a long position. I bought 50k units of AUD, but when I selected "close position 100%" it said I have insufficient AUD.
Should I be using CFDs instead of direct Forex? Do I need to keep an amount of both currencies of the pair I am trading? Or am I missing something?
Also, if I have an option position, how can I create a bracketed stop loss/take profit order (where one side will be auto cancelled if the other side executes)? I saw the video from IBKR which explains how to do it when you first open the position, but nothing on how to do it for a position that is already open.
Thanks!

I'm doing a tribute to the 24 days of Christmas by going over the financial statements of 24 companies that are considered downrange, speculative, and just plain high risk.
The legal cannabis industry already has a ton of risk in it - but this stuff - is only for thrill seekers. All opinions are my own, and certainly not a recommendation for or against any of them, or to buy or sell.
I've limited myself to 45mins to each, and kept to most recent financial statements and MD&A's. You'll likely know more about the company than me if you're following them. This is only my reactions with a brief commentary about what I see in their latest financial statements.
I haven't been consistent in following them all over the past year: some I have, others not.
Ah, it's that time of the year again.
The smell of chestnuts roasting....the sights of snack tables filled with shortbread & egg nog....of lights and decorations and presents....and that time when the elves revisit the route on their 2017 Dive Bar Pub Crawl.
Some of the share prices have been up and down faster than a toddler's mood. Let's take a look, and see who has been 'naughty' or 'nice'.
MPX - MPX Bioceutical
Price then: $0.40 - Price Now: $0.87
Recently, I toured their Nevada facility, and wrote their financials up here, and you can find the grow op writeup here. Gonna cheat a little this year, and refer to that.
KALY - Kalytera Therapeutics, Inc.
Price then: $0.29 - Price Now: $0.065

• That very expensive Talent Bio pickup wasn't so expensive after all. Bottom fell out of a contingency payment, expected liability turned into income. Presto!
• Note 5. Reads like the script from a Mexican soap opera.
• If you decide to read Note 5, have a box of tissues, a spreadsheet, a bottle of rum, and a bowl of popcorn handy. You might have need of all four during it. Or maybe just the rum alone.
• That $12MM write-down of expected contingent liabilities in Talent landed them $0.01/share in diluted EPS.
• Woooo! They're profitable!!!!..???....
• First time I've ever seen income derived from G&A.
• A true Dive Bar HOF nominee: the 'secured debenture' remains. Note 7.
• Best reading yet: Beetlebung Pharma Ltd. (no, I didn't make that up). Find out all about the brand spanking new contingent liabilities in Note 9.

Ugh. Just ugh. As I said last year, pharma is outside of my wheelhouse, as does financials related to them. Anyhow, I still think the financials suck.
GLH - Golden Leaf Holdings
Price then: $0.28 - Price Now: $0.13

• Woot! Announced a merger with Terra Tech! Great fit! Complimentary businesses!
• Fast forward 5 weeks, 'merger' off. A one line press release that says nothing else.
• My new favorite: 'Unsecured Convertible Subordinated Debenture Units'. They raised $8MM with them.
• Which, happened to be closing 2 weeks after the merger announcement.
• That retinal burn I got last year was prevented. I invested in a pair of auto-darkening welding glasses. Smart call if you're thinking of reading any of these financials.
• Some of these notes shine brighter than a 50 amp arc weld.
• Break even business on sales/cogs. Guess that's a positive. They were negative a year ago. At this rate, by 2026, they might have a positive gross margin.
• $220k in intangible customer relationships appeared, then disappeared during the period. Yet total customer relationships remain unchanged at $1.512MM. Nyuk-nyuk.
• Spoke too soon: the welding glasses reaction time wasn't quick enough to dim the intensity of Note 17. All I can see is spots right now.
• Man, life's too short for this shit.

While searching for a reason for the merger cancellation, I came across a Terra Tech comedy sketch. Sadly, there is not even a mention of the merger 'oopsy' on their website. Seriously, if space becomes available in the Crawl, Terra Tech is first in line.
As for GLH....well....caveat your fucking emptor. Eye bleach is/was too gentle a term for this outfit's fins.
THC Biomed
Price then: $0.80 - Price Now: $0.32

• G&A and SBC far in the lead of reported operations.
• $8MM write-up of warrant liability. Note 10. Yeep.
• Got $2MM in a settlement with Jacob Securities. Winning!
• Clone shipper's sales have been 'nominal'.
• Of the $1.3MM they paid for the shipper, 1.1MM of it allocated to patents and trademarks.
• Lord God above, protect us. Note 10 here could be a contender with some notes in GLH for retinal burn.
• Good itemization of G&A. Hey, gotta say something nice. It's xmas after all.
• Ok, gonna take that back. Note 15 detail 3 pages (3!) of related party transactions. I've never seen any company in my life require that much.
• $5.5MM in loss carry forwards a positive. If they ever make money that is. Which, at a negative margin and a $12MM loss this year.....

Through disclosure, we know that they pay $25 an hour, a $500 xmas bonus, and 250,000 stock options. Which is pretty good. Qualification is that you have to be a close family member of the CEO, and buy $1,400 in product.
Well, there's many different fish in the sea. But I do suspect that this isn't a fish, it's just a sea slug.
EAT (Nutritional High)
Price then: $0.22 - Price Now: $0.18

• 40% of all assets intangibles/goodwill. Just like an old favorite xmas song we all know the words to.
• S/E deficit doubled, now up to $20MM
• Gross margin positive. Well then, that is a positive.
• Note 23. Holy Hannah. These guys show THC how it's really done in related party transactions. $5MM of the $10MM in total op expenses for the year to related parties. THC? Pffft. Amateurs.
• $80k in forex losses. Has me pining for the fjords of last year's crawl.
• 52 pages of statements. Totally fucking merciless. Sociopathic in fact.
• I'd need a hyper-cluster of blade servers to calculate the optionality in Note 21 alone. My apologies, I don't have one. Maybe the elves will find one second hand.
• Seriously, the complexity of these statements rivals CGC.

Ok. They have stuff littered everywhere, and it doesn't look like any of it is worth anything. Oh, wait, that's what I said last year.
Realistically, to get a good handle on this thing, one would need an Act of God. I waited for a little while, but it didn't happen. On to.....
RVV - Revive Therapeutics
Price then: $0.30 - Price Now: $0.09

• Assets: nothing.
• Liabilities: nothing.
• Share Capital: deficit of $10MM.
• Office expenses: a lean mean $19k. Whoppingly eclipsed by $24k in research costs.
• $150k in salaries.
• Thankfully, this thing is only 15 pages long. Given it looks like a one person shop operating out of a phone booth, probably also explains it.

Heavy in options, some design around clinical trials. Nothing much else stands out. Again, pharma and value hunting in research ain't something I know much about. The entire assumption in here is that they'll actually put out someday, or get taken out by a larger fish (hopefully for more than the $10MM they've dumped into it). Anyone investing in stuff this downrange, better have your scope sighted in.
Or perhaps you know that the FDA's granting of orphan drug status for CBD in the prevention of ischemia and reperfusion injury resulting from solid organ transplantation is just the shot in the arm this company needed. If you do, please keep it to yourself.

This is going to be the only crypto post for now and an announcement:
Rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. Posts regarding this topic will be automatically removed.
If there's a stock correlated with cryptocurrencies, like coinbase going IPO, then that's fine, you might have to message the mods after posting to have it approved, no big deal.
Also if you're questioning whether something is an investment or not, just search for it on personalfinance. For general currency trading strategies, see forex .
If you're wondering if bitcoins are an investment or if there will be a crash, read on.

Are cryptocurrencies an investment?

This post is going to deal with bitcoins & cryptocurrencies as an investment... they're more speculative. All currencies are speculative mostly due to how the forex market works, but more because of exchange rates between countries keep currencies balanced (including inflation, country debt, interest rates, political & economic stability, etc), so you can only profit in price fluctuations.
Sure you could buy the currency of a depressed country, like Mexico decades ago, and then hold in the hopes it'll go up (which it did for Mexico), but that's also speculation (no one knew Mexico would pay off so much debt).
Bitcoins are also affected by other countries' currency values, but more so by the future expectation of legitimacy, world wide adoption, limited gains from mining, and eventual limit in supply. But at any given moment the United States could pay off more debt, raise interest rates to reduce inflation (or cause deflation), grow GDP, or even reduce the supply of USD all of which would increase the value of USD (keep in mind bitcoins can't do any of these things).
Far too many people are treating cryptocoins as an investment because currently (June 5th 2017) a lot of crypto investors are worth a lot of money, god bless you people, so this post will also help you determine if we're headed for a crypto crash and maybe you can keep those profits.

Should I invest in cryptocurrencies?

Understand that an investment is something you hope will go up in the future or provide income, both of which for the long term vs speculation which profits on short term inefficiencies.
Speculative securities are typically commodities, options, bonds, and currencies, but also stocks that are volatile enough to give you extreme returns or extreme loses.

Examples of investments:

• Stocks: A company's stock is an investment because the company's purpose is to continually grow and profit which is reflected in the stock price.
• Real estate: Typically you're in real estate for the rental income, but there is also the opportunity that property value will go up in the future depending on the local property market.

Examples of speculation:

• Overvalued stocks: AMZN a few years ago was more speculative than an investment when P/Es were over 1000 because the stock price was so high compared to how much Amazon was earning at the time and the possibility of earning even more was speculative.
• Options: An option contract worth 10 cents to buy AAPL at $200 in 2018, if AAPL goes over $200 you'll make several 100s of percentage points, if not you'll lose everything.
• Bio pharmaceutical stocks - FDA approval can send these stocks soaring or a bad drug trial will make you lose everything
• Penny stocks - several factors contributing to extreme price movements up & down
• Gold - global turmoil can send gold to new highs
• Hoarding a ton of Flooz giftcards or Facebook credits in hopes they'll go up in value, if not they're worthless. Also works on beanie babies, tickle me elmos, and collector items.

Reducing the risk of speculation

Typically for speculation you reduce risk by reducing your trade size and timeframe, but since you're trying to invest into something that is speculative, you can try:
Asset allocation, a strategy that reduces risk.. If you're 80% stocks, 15% bonds, 4% gold, and 1% bitcoins, if something were to happen to bitcoins, you still have 99% of your money.
But even very aggressive long term portfolios leave speculation out completely and just go 100% stocks because stocks benefit from growth while speculative securities like gold benefit from global turmoil in the short term. Only mid risk & mid term portfolios can take advantage of gold's speculative returns.
I also mention asset allocation because many crypto investors have been using this strategy on a portfolio of 100% crypto coins, but that doesn't help you reduce the overall risk of crypto coins, you're just reducing the risk of 1 speculative asset with another speculative asset. 100% crypto portfolio would face the same risks such as being made illegal, IRS aggressively hunting down crypto profits, a drop in correlated coin markets, or just a loss of popularity would all cause a sell off. Even the USD or Chinese currencies becoming more valuable would reduce the value of crypto coins.

Should I buy coins right now?

Cryptocoins are a better investment after a period of consolidation when volatility has stabilized:

Bitcoin 2013/2014 speculation, chart

• High volatility, extremely overbought signals

Bitcoin 2015 consolidation, chart

• Becoming more of an investment opportunity after volatility went down

Source Bitstamp exchange, while the volume is #2 to GDAX, Bitstamp is better to look at for historical price/data, more charts here.

RSI & MACD key for above charts and primer

• RSI overbought => 70%, oversold =< 30%
• MACD crossover is generally used for buy/sell signals and the green histogram anticipates that crossover by growing/shrinking. Also when the lines rise or fall to extremes (which is relative) give overbought/oversold signals, so we're going to use it to confirm or reject RSI. (If you think MACD crossovers are magic, don't, it's always late (crossing after the point you should sell or buy), but the crossover usually signals even more buying/selling, yet MACD is best used for confirming other indicators which is why I'm using them in these charts)

Analyzing overbought signals

So the first chart above have RSI & MACD screaming that bitcoin is overbought and you shouldn't invest in 2013/2014.
The black squares in the 2nd chart show consolidation and reduced volatility, a "better" time to invest. If you were trading short term, it would be a whole different story, and there would be opportunities to buy & short, but since this is written for investing, the small overbought signals are ignored, so if you were to buy Bitcoin at $300 inside the first blacksquare (2nd chart) and then it suddenly drops to 25%, it's okay because the volatility is much lower compared to previous price movements (nothing compared to 80% loss in the 1st chart). Any investor would tell you a 25% drop is terrible, but bitcoins are speculative and that kind of drop is pretty damn good for this level of volatility.

Nothing goes straight up forever

and anything that comes near this vertical incline will eventually lose 80% to near 100%, always happens, it's usually preceded by emotions (price euphoria), attention, and increased volume, all classic signs that something is becoming riskier.
Other speculative securities gaining multiples and then losing 80% to near 100% of value:

• Gold - detailed, shows two big corrections *happened multiple times in gold's long history
• AMD - 475% gains, then slide down to 84% loss *this has happened several times to AMD (1983, 1997, 2001, 2006)
• MJNA - these patterns in penny stocks are easier to see, they're the epitome of speculation
• Crude oil - I only took the 2006 to 2010 period which saw 3x increase and then a 76% loss, but oil was actually in a 7.5x incline since 2002
• AAPL - YES APPLE NO EXCEPTIONS, however with stocks it's easier to justify price increases because of earnings growth, but in this case AAPL was very overbought and earnings couldn't grow fast enough (even though earnings was already extreme). After a few mini corrections, a big one came which was 50% loss from the top. Keep in mind when looking at this chart that the previous price before the 7-1 stock split was $705 making the top $100.71 (I wrote it on the chart). Here the missing signal is increased volume, but we have another signal being MACD divergence which came late, but could have saved you another 20ish % loss.

Notable comments on reddit:

*This is just to get you guys looking at different subs on this topic, and yeah it's mostly anti-crypto, but don't let that discourage you.

• "Everyone was so wrapped up in which beanie baby would be worth the most in 20 years but nobody stopped to ask if anyone would care about beanie babies in 20 years. "
• "All cryptocurrency is speculation... most of the new cryptocurrency that's popping up are all cash grabs. Like penny stocks, they will push them hard and get people to buy in, then sell to all the suckers and the price will plummet"

Is Bitcoin going to crash?

Maybe, the signals are getting louder, you tell me: The only chart you wanted to see this entire time.
So based on the above chart, is bitcoin overbought? MACD levels are the same as 2013's crash, but the increased in value is around 4.3x or 2.4x (depending on which you look at), so maybe we'll see another spike before a crash, I don't know, it's up to interpretation right now. There's the emotional price levels of 3000 and 4000 that we might have no problem getting to in an overbought environment before a correction. And how big will the correction be? I think 80%, but it very well could be around 50% down to $1200, the previous level of resistance which would become support.
I put everything above in its own wiki here.
Well I hope that helps everyone. Sorry to anyone that may feel butthurt on classifying cryptocoins as speculation, I hope you understand the facts. Feel free to argue or agree with this. If I made any mistakes and you point them out, I'll correct them and give you credit for it in an update to this post and the wiki.
Also the automod will is just going to blanket remove posts (not comments) with the following keywords {crypto, bitcoin, btc, etherium, altcoin} (see update 4 below) (this will eventually get relaxed if Coinbase ever IPOs) and then it'll send the user this message:
"Sorry your post[link] was removed in stocks because of rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. You can find more information in our are-cryptocurrencies-investments wiki. If you're trying to discuss a non-OTC stock related to cryptocoins like Coinbase IPO, or this was just a mistake, message the mods and they'll approve your post, thanks."
Update: Created wiki, added relevant websites and sub reddits. Also turned on automod reply.
Update2: those relavant websites and subreddits I put into the wiki, thanks u/dross99 for recommending ethereum

Relevant websites/wikis

• Coin Market Cap - Great overview of all cryptocoins, their marketcap, graphs, price
• Bitcoin Charts USD - Bitcoin charts for USD by exchange. Also available on the same site are bitcoins in every currency.
• I just wanted to stick my money somewhere

Relevant subreddits

• CryptoCurrency - main sub to learn about all bit & altcoins
• ethtrader - trading eth
• ethereum - for more eth information
• btc - the place to have bitcoin discussions or r/CryptoCurrency; while Bitcoin does have a lot of information on Bitcoins in general, you'll find many reddit subs completely opposed to Bitcoin for heavy censorship of discussions, especially those critical of bitcoins, so you're better off reading the sub's wikis and discussing bitcoins in btc & r/CryptoCurrency
• personalfinance

Update3: Shoutout to the mods on CryptoCurrency
Update4: Updated auto mod keywords, it's not a blanket catch all, a little completed to understand if you don't know regex but it looks like this

"crypto ?(trading|investing)","(should(| I)|could(| I)|can(| I)|how to|is it worth) (buy|sell|mine|min)(|ing) (btc|btcs|bitcoin|ether|etherium|eth|litecoin|ripple|altcoin)" 

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