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Forex Today: Dull trading as sentiment keeps deteriorating
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The big fat r/Forex FOMC Minutes and Dollar thread
Let's talk FOMC and the USD.
FOMC Minutes
The short version is that after parsing through the language of the FOMC minutes, most analysts see a somewhat mixed to positive message:
Some Fed officials see an "appreciable risk" that inflation remains below their 2% target, according to the minutes of their January meeting released on Wednesday.
Wall Street has been focused on inflation since that meeting. Concerns about it — and higher interest rates — helped plunge the stock market into a correction.
The Fed was otherwise upbeat on the economy, and expects tax cuts to support growth. source
Also
FOMC members said they have revised upward the economic projections they made at the previous meeting in December.
The January meeting was the last one for Chair Janet Yellen, who had guided the Fed through the first rate normalization steps a decade after the financial crisis.
Markets already were on edge after the January Fed meeting, during which the committee said it expected that "further gradual adjustments" in monetary policy. source
Why are the minutes important?
The key to understanding why FOMC is important this time comes from this statement:
"investors were reading them for more information on how FOMC members were thinking about inflation, and how much they could raise interest rates to combat it." source
Most targets, except for USDJPY due to it's correlation to SPX/SPY and DJI, are bullish. I saw several small gap downs in futures which represent a strong opening for the USD. USDCAD is looking to tear. AUDUSD is potentially breaking a huge support line at .7800. You aren't getting 100% guidance because that doesn't exist in FX. It's anebvulous message. There is likely other factors too:
Fear that the market still needs to fill the gaps in it's shitty structure that was built during that insane Christmas/Post-Christmas bull charge
Fear of the new Fed Chair: who is he? What is he like? Another dove like Yellen, unpredictable like Bernanke?
Fear that the Fed may not have as much power as they say they do? So much wealth has been generated within private sector that it is becoming apparent that the Fed doesn't have as much leverage as it used to: private money is capable of dictating market courses sometimes now.
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast| Global stock market selloff contributed to US Dollar strength
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast
The GBP/USD is trading little modified above 1.2800 after falling to the 7-week low of 1.2777 on a combination of Brexit uncertainty and danger-off sentiment.
The rumors of deep department inside Theresa may additionally’s cabinet and Brexit negotiating team surfaced.
at the same time as the bank of England Inflation file is about to voice Brexit uncertainty as a key threat to the economic and financial coverage outlook, the united states hard work market is about to flex its muscle.
The FxStreet Forecast ballot GBP/USD turned much less bullish for the 1-month and three-month time.
Without a critical fundamental news scheduled for the United Kingdom at some stage in the fourth week of October, it became the Brexit related uncertainty that drove Sterling decrease, particularly after the almighty British media said that the UK high Minister Theresa may also is losing manage over her personal cupboard as the division amongst her team participants rose. Any other element helping the USA greenback and different safe-haven currencies during the fourth week of October turned into the equity market selloff with robust and volatile actions of 2%-3% up and down. The equity marketplace volatility did not make bigger in terms of length, but it has sent a shock wave across the globe and noticed the typical secure-haven currencies like US dollar and Japanese Yen rising. The GBP/USD is moving in a downward sloping trend framed by ultimate week’s excessive of 1.3238 and Monday’s excessive of one.3091. After falling sharply on Monday toward 1.2940, the GBP/USD recovered on Brexit optimism on Tuesday simply to fall lower back to October lows on Wednesday and fell further down on Thursday and Friday. The technical oscillators consisting of Momentum and the Relative energy Index both grew to become higher in the impartial territory on a day by day chart. The gradual Stochastic made a flow deeply into the bullish territory with swing upwards being the maximum probably move. After the GBP/USD fell beyond price goal of 1.2920 and fell beneath 1.2800 to reach a 7 week low, the strain on falling in addition towards 2018 low of one.2662 will mount.
The economic event next week
The UK Economic features the headline of the beginning of November in the Bank of England November Inflation Report due next Thursday. The Bank of England is not expected to either change the Bank rate or to twist the asset purchasing program. It is expected to repeatedly voice their concern about the Brexit uncertainty as both the European Union and the United Kingdom are still far from reaching the final Brexit agreement although there has been a significant progress on a wide range of issues in the Brexit negotiations. If you want some more info about Forex market Please contact on my whats app +91-9630405825.....and email also [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) https://preview.redd.it/ezj0hzhzfpu11.jpg?width=1157&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c01edb559916d8eeb8bcd3529c01e3e43f74c523
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